Buy low: Rashee Rice (WR, KC)
WR44 ON THE APP, WR8 ON MY BOARD
Still the top buy, still waiting on the report
Rashee Rice is the top buy for the second week in a row, WR44 on your app and WR8 on my board. He didn’t play in Week 5, so last week’s call didn’t count. Most of his low luck is a scoreless Week 4. He’s listed questionable, so check the report first.
LUCK 29 · UNLUCKYSO FAR 7.9 A GAME IN 4 · APP WR44MY BOARD WR8 REST OF SEASON97% ROSTERED · 25% STARTEDLISTED QUESTIONABLE THIS WEEKDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 9.9 vs 14.7 (30th) · WK2 12.3 vs 8.8 (65th) · WK3 15.8 vs 11.6 (69th) · WK4 0.0 vs 12.5 (0th)SCORE A TRADE FOR HIM →
Buy low: Courtland Sutton (WR, DEN)
87TH ON THE APP, WR35 ON MY BOARD
The biggest gap on the tape
Courtland Sutton is the biggest gap on the tape, 87th at receiver on your app and WR35 on my board. He’s getting 5.0 targets a game, and every game before Week 5 landed below the middle of his simulations. He’s on 76% of rosters, so check your waiver wire before you trade for him.
LUCK 31 · UNLUCKYSO FAR 4.4 A GAME IN 5 · APP WR87MY BOARD WR35 REST OF SEASON76% ROSTERED · 22% STARTEDDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 3.1 vs 7.4 (25th) · WK2 5.5 vs 8.3 (35th) · WK3 7.6 vs 8.0 (48th) · WK4 1.4 vs 8.6 (6th) · WK5 9.8 vs 8.7 (56th)SCORE A TRADE FOR HIM →
Buy low: Jaylen Waddle (WR, DEN)
6.2 TARGETS A GAME, WR25 ON MY BOARD
The good game is the outlier
Jaylen Waddle is WR51 on your app and WR25 on my board, with 6.2 targets a game. His Week 2 came in at 24.8 DraftKings points, and most of his other games landed in the bottom fifth of his simulations. Buy the targets, because the box score hasn’t caught up.
LUCK 37 · A LITTLE UNLUCKYSO FAR 7.5 A GAME IN 5 · APP WR51MY BOARD WR25 REST OF SEASON94% ROSTERED · 56% STARTEDDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 1.2 vs 8.6 (11th) · WK2 24.8 vs 6.3 (96th) · WK3 6.4 vs 12.4 (14th) · WK4 14.5 vs 12.2 (60th) · WK5 4.8 vs 12.1 (9th)SCORE A TRADE FOR HIM →
Buy low: Chase Brown (RB, CIN)
14.2 CARRIES A GAME, RB10 ON MY BOARD
A repeat buy after a miss
Chase Brown was a buy here last week and missed, and I’m buying him again. His Week 5 landed in the bottom 5% of his simulations. He’s still getting 14.2 carries a game, and my board has him RB10 to the app’s RB19.
LUCK 27 · UNLUCKYSO FAR 11.0 A GAME IN 5 · APP RB19MY BOARD RB10 REST OF SEASON99% ROSTERED · 82% STARTEDDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 18.8 vs 18.9 (50th) · WK2 11.2 vs 15.7 (31st) · WK3 8.9 vs 16.7 (13th) · WK4 19.1 vs 17.1 (59th) · WK5 8.0 vs 19.8 (5th)SCORE A TRADE FOR HIM →
Buy low: J.K. Dobbins (RB, DEN)
12.8 CARRIES A GAME, RB25 ON MY BOARD
The Denver back is waking up
Dobbins, the Broncos running back, is RB40 on your app and RB25 on my board, on 12.8 carries a game. His Week 5 was his best yet at 15.4 DraftKings points, after earlier games that ran below his pre-game medians. He’s a cheap flex for a team that’s short at running back.
LUCK 41 · A LITTLE UNLUCKYSO FAR 6.7 A GAME IN 5 · APP RB40MY BOARD RB25 REST OF SEASON76% ROSTERED · 26% STARTEDDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK2 3.6 vs 10.4 (14th) · WK3 6.3 vs 7.6 (43rd) · WK4 7.2 vs 9.6 (36th) · WK5 15.4 vs 9.6 (76th)SCORE A TRADE FOR HIM →
Sell high: Christian Watson (WR, GB)
LUCK 81, SIX TOUCHDOWNS
WR3 on six touchdowns
Christian Watson is the top sell, WR3 on your app and WR18 on my board. Six touchdowns did most of that, and his Weeks 1 and 5 both landed in the top 3% of his simulations. He’s getting 8.0 targets a game, so he’s a real starter, but you’re selling him at the price of a star.
LUCK 81 · LUCKYSO FAR 19.3 A GAME IN 5 · APP WR3MY BOARD WR18 REST OF SEASON95% ROSTERED · 74% STARTEDDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 35.7 vs 10.1 (98th) · WK2 14.1 vs 10.4 (65th) · WK4 7.7 vs 13.3 (19th) · WK5 35.3 vs 12.2 (97th)SCORE A TRADE OF HIM →
Sell high: Jalen Coker (WR, CAR)
WEEK 1: 36.8 DRAFTKINGS POINTS
Week 1 is still doing the heavy lifting
Jalen Coker is 11th at receiver on your app and 36th on my board, and his Week 1 is most of the reason. That game came in at 36.8 DraftKings points, the very top of his simulations. He’s listed questionable, so check the report first.
LUCK 71 · LUCKYSO FAR 14.4 A GAME IN 3 · APP WR11MY BOARD WR36 REST OF SEASON83% ROSTERED · 10% STARTEDLISTED QUESTIONABLE THIS WEEKDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 36.8 vs 5.8 (100th) · WK2 14.6 vs 8.8 (75th) · WK3 3.8 vs 12.0 (5th)SCORE A TRADE OF HIM →
Sell high: Matthew Golden (WR, GB)
8.8 TARGETS A GAME, 40TH ON MY BOARD
The other Green Bay receiver to sell
Matthew Golden is 17th at receiver on your app and 40th on my board. He’s getting 8.8 targets a game, which is real, but his Weeks 1 and 5 both landed near the top of his simulations. Watson is on this list too, so sell one of them while the Packers look unstoppable.
LUCK 72 · LUCKYSO FAR 12.9 A GAME IN 5 · APP WR17MY BOARD WR40 REST OF SEASON88% ROSTERED · 58% STARTEDDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 15.5 vs 5.4 (89th) · WK2 9.8 vs 9.5 (52nd) · WK4 11.7 vs 12.0 (48th) · WK5 23.3 vs 11.9 (86th)SCORE A TRADE OF HIM →
Sell high: Brock Purdy (QB, SF)
QB2 ON THE APP, QB11 ON MY BOARD
Sold last week, still selling
Brock Purdy is the QB2 on your app with 13 touchdown passes in five games. His Week 5 came in under his pre-game median, but his app ranking didn’t move. My simulations have run a little low on every quarterback, but his 71 is well past the group’s 55. My board has him QB11.
LUCK 71 · LUCKYSO FAR 23.3 A GAME IN 5 · APP QB2MY BOARD QB11 REST OF SEASON97% ROSTERED · 67% STARTEDDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 22.1 vs 16.9 (73rd) · WK2 28.5 vs 20.7 (80th) · WK3 31.3 vs 19.9 (89th) · WK4 19.6 vs 18.6 (56th) · WK5 17.2 vs 17.9 (46th)SCORE A TRADE OF HIM →
Sell high: Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR)
RB7 ON THE APP, RB15 ON MY BOARD
Back on the sell side
Chuba Hubbard is RB7 on your app and RB15 on my board. He didn’t play in Week 5, so last week’s call on him didn’t count. Five touchdowns in four games built his luck number of 80, and the 15.2 carries a game are the part worth keeping.
LUCK 80 · LUCKYSO FAR 18.5 A GAME IN 4 · APP RB7MY BOARD RB15 REST OF SEASON94% ROSTERED · 20% STARTEDDRAFTKINGS POINTS (FULL PPR) VS HIS PRE-GAME MEDIAN: WK1 23.7 vs 8.1 (96th) · WK2 14.4 vs 9.3 (73rd) · WK3 15.0 vs 15.6 (47th) · WK4 28.9 vs 16.8 (86th)SCORE A TRADE OF HIM →