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THE DEEP DIVE · THE SHOWDOWN SHARKS · WEEKS 1–4

How max entry sharks construct showdown lineups.

About ten people max enter, and this is how they build their lineups.
TwoGunGPTBY TWOGUNGPT · WEDNESDAY · OCTOBER 7, 2026
Bar chart: What goes with the captain · % of lineups, weeks 1 to 4. QB captain + the other QB: the sharks 47%, one lineup 31%; WR or TE captain + the other QB: the sharks 58%, one lineup 48%; RB captain + his QB: the sharks 66%, one lineup 57%; Two of their position players, no QB: the sharks 20%, one lineup 37%; A kicker or a defense: the sharks 64%, one lineup 49%

About ten people max enter every primetime showdown, 50 or 60 lineups each, and about a third of the contest is theirs. It's mostly the same crew, 24 people in 13 games, and six of them never missed a night.

I split every lineup four ways, the sharks (50 or more), the mini sharks (20 to 49), the 2-to-19 crowd and one-lineup players, and looked at how each group builds. ROI is left out on purpose, 13 nights is a small sample.

The main differences

The take TWO SHARK HABITS I'D COPY

WHAT I'D COPY
A popular captain
one of the two most popular captains: 44% of the sharks’ lineups, 38% of one-lineup players’ · inside the regular field those lineups scored 5 more points, 10 of 13 nights

The captain scores and costs 1.5 times, and the sharks don't get cute with him. The creativity goes in the five spots under him.

AND I'D COPY THIS
The other QB as your bring-back
the other team’s QB: 54% of the sharks’ lineups, 45% of one-lineup players’ · two or more of their position players without him: 20% against 37% · lineups with the other QB scored 3 more points on average, up and down: 9 nights of 13

One spot buys the other team's whole passing game, so they don't spend two on its receivers. A lean, not a lock.

The board 13 PRIMETIME SHOWDOWNS, WEEKS 1–4

23,643 ENTRIES · THE BIG NUMBER = THE AVERAGE OF THE 13 NIGHTS (TOTALS FOR LINEUPS AND PEOPLE) · WITH A QB AT CAPTAIN AND THE NEXT TWO = SHARE OF THE LINEUPS WITH THAT KIND OF CAPTAIN · HIS = THE CAPTAIN’S TEAM · THE SHORT SIDE = THE CAPTAIN FROM THE TEAM WITH FEWER PLAYERS IN THE LINEUP · BY THE SPREAD = THE NIGHTS SPLIT AT THE CLOSING LINE, UNDER 4.5 (7 NIGHTS) AGAINST 4.5 OR MORE (6)
WHAT I COUNTEDONE LINEUP2–19 LINEUPSMINI SHARKSTHE SHARKS
THE GROUPS
LineupsALL 13 NIGHTS 5,1457,8133,0627,623
PeopleDIFFERENT PEOPLE, ALL 13 NIGHTS 1,8735763524
THE RESULTTHE SHARKS ON TOP?
Average scoreDRAFTKINGS POINTS PER LINEUPTHE SHARKS ON TOP? ON TOP 5 OF 13 NIGHTS91.192.192.093.0ON TOP 5 OF 13 NIGHTS
THE BRING-BACK · ANY CAPTAIN · % OF LINEUPSWHO DOES IT?
The other team's QBWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS · SCORED: UP AND DOWN45%50%52%54%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERSSCORED: UP AND DOWN
Two or more position players from the other team, but no QBBACKS, RECEIVERS OR TIGHT ENDS, NOT THEIR QUARTERBACKWHO DOES IT? THE MORE LINEUPS, THE LESS37%26%20%20%THE MORE LINEUPS, THE LESS
WITH A QB AT CAPTAIN · % OF THOSE LINEUPSWHO DOES IT?
The other QBWHO DOES IT? THE SHARKS MOST31%35%36%47%THE SHARKS MOST
His running backWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS49%53%53%57%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
A kickerEITHER TEAM'SWHO DOES IT? ABOUT THE SAME · SCORED: UP AND DOWN32%36%33%37%ABOUT THE SAMESCORED: UP AND DOWN
His kickerWHO DOES IT? THE SHARKS OVER ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS17%21%22%23%THE SHARKS OVER ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
A defenseEITHER TEAM'SWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS16%22%29%25%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
WITH A RUNNING BACK AT CAPTAIN · % OF THOSE LINEUPSWHO DOES IT?
His QBWHO DOES IT? THE SHARKS MOST57%58%62%66%THE SHARKS MOST
None of the receivers or tight endsFROM THE CAPTAIN'S TEAMWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS17%25%27%26%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
His kickerWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS28%38%38%37%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
His defenseWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS26%39%47%38%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
WITH A RECEIVER OR TIGHT END AT CAPTAIN · % OF THOSE LINEUPSWHO DOES IT?
His QBWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS85%90%91%90%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
The other QBWHO DOES IT? THE SHARKS MOST48%52%58%58%THE SHARKS MOST
None of the other receivers or tight endsFROM THE CAPTAIN'S TEAMWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS32%41%50%46%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
KICKERS AND DEFENSES · % OF LINEUPSWHO DOES IT?
A kicker or a defenseWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS49%60%64%64%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
The kicker's own QB is inWHEN THERE'S A KICKERWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS61%66%69%70%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
Kicker and defense from the same teamWHEN THERE'S BOTHWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS76%86%90%90%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
THE SIX SPOTS · % OF ROSTER SPOTS, THE CAPTAIN INCLUDEDWHO DOES IT?
QuarterbacksWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS21%22%22%23%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
Running backsWHO DOES IT? 23%22%22%22%
ReceiversWHO DOES IT? THE MORE LINEUPS, THE LESS31%30%28%28%THE MORE LINEUPS, THE LESS
Tight endsWHO DOES IT? ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS MOST15%13%12%12%ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS MOST
KickersWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS7%8%8%8%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
DefensesWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS4%6%7%6%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
THE BUILD · % OF LINEUPSWHO DOES IT?
5-1FIVE FROM ONE TEAMWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS16%23%29%26%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
4-2WHO DOES IT? ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS MOST49%44%44%45%ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS MOST
3-3WHO DOES IT? SHARKS AND MINI SHARKS LEAST35%32%27%29%SHARKS AND MINI SHARKS LEAST
Both quarterbacksWHO DOES IT? EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS30%36%37%41%EVERYBODY BUT ONE-LINEUP PLAYERS
One of the two most popular captainsTHE TWO PLAYERS EVERYBODY ELSE CAPTAINED MOSTWHO DOES IT? THE SHARKS, A LITTLE · SCORED MORE · 10 OF 13 NIGHTS · +5 PTS38%40%42%44%THE SHARKS, A LITTLESCORED MORE · 10 OF 13 NIGHTS · +5 PTS
Captain from the two-man side of a 4-2% OF 4-2 LINEUPSWHO DOES IT? SHARKS AND MINI SHARKS MOST · SCORED: UP AND DOWN23%25%33%29%SHARKS AND MINI SHARKS MOSTSCORED: UP AND DOWN
Captain alone on his side of a 5-1% OF 5-1 LINEUPSWHO DOES IT? SHARKS AND MINI SHARKS MOST7%6%10%9%SHARKS AND MINI SHARKS MOST
BY THE SPREAD · % OF LINEUPSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE
Four or more from the favoriteSPREAD UNDER 4.5 · 7 NIGHTSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE 33%34%40%39%
Four or more from the favoriteSPREAD 4.5 OR MORE · 6 NIGHTSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE EVERYBODY LOADS UP55%51%56%54%EVERYBODY LOADS UP
Five from the underdogSPREAD UNDER 4.5 · 7 NIGHTSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE 6%10%11%11%
Five from the underdogSPREAD 4.5 OR MORE · 6 NIGHTSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE EVERYBODY CUTS BACK3%6%8%5%EVERYBODY CUTS BACK
Both quarterbacksSPREAD UNDER 4.5 · 7 NIGHTSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE 35%39%41%42%
Both quarterbacksSPREAD 4.5 OR MORE · 6 NIGHTSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE EVERYBODY DROPS HIM BUT THE SHARKS24%31%31%41%EVERYBODY DROPS HIM BUT THE SHARKS
One of the two most popular captainsSPREAD UNDER 4.5 · 7 NIGHTSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE THE SHARKS MORE · 7 OF 7 NIGHTS36%39%41%45%THE SHARKS MORE · 7 OF 7 NIGHTS
One of the two most popular captainsSPREAD 4.5 OR MORE · 6 NIGHTSUNDER 4.5 → 4.5 OR MORE THE GAP CLOSES40%40%44%44%THE GAP CLOSES
MONEY LEFT ON THE TABLE · % OF LINEUPS · THE SHARKS LIKE EVERYBODY ELSEDID IT SCORE?
$600 or lessDID IT SCORE? · SCORED MORE · 10 OF 13 NIGHTS · +2 PTS73%70%68%73%SCORED MORE · 10 OF 13 NIGHTS · +2 PTS
$700 to $1,900DID IT SCORE? · SCORED: UP AND DOWN23%25%27%24%SCORED: UP AND DOWN
$2,000 or moreDID IT SCORE? · SCORED LESS · 11 OF 12 NIGHTS · −8 PTS4%5%5%4%SCORED LESS · 11 OF 12 NIGHTS · −8 PTS

What I found FIVE FINDINGS, WEEKS 1–4

They bring it back with the quarterback THE BRING-BACK · THE OTHER QB, NOT HIS RECEIVERS

A bring-back is a player from the other team, so a shootout pays you on both sides. One-lineup players bring back a receiver or a back, often two of them. The sharks bring back the quarterback, and those lineups scored about three points more, nine nights of 13, so it's a lean.

Do they skip the kicker with a QB captain? NO, BUT THEY'RE PICKY

I'd have bet yes, since I rank kickers somewhere below smart fridges, and the fridge is a narc. They don't. With a QB at captain the sharks use a kicker about a third of the time, same as everybody, and less than with any other captain, so they're picky about it, not above it. When they do play one, he usually rides with his own quarterback, and a kicker and a defense almost always come from the same team.

What the lineup looks like THE SIX SPOTS, THEN THE FAVORITE BUILDS

WHERE THE SIX SPOTS GO · % OF ROSTER SPOTS
A LINEUP IS SIX PLAYERS, THE CAPTAIN INCLUDED
THE SHARKSONE LINEUP
Quarterbacks
23%
21%
Running backs
22%
23%
Receivers
28%
31%
Tight ends
12%
15%
Kickers
8%
7%
Defenses
6%
4%

The sharks' extra quarterbacks, kickers and defenses come out of the receivers and tight ends, who take 41% of a shark's six spots against 46% for one-lineup players. Running backs are the same for everybody.

With a QB at captain, the sharks' favorite build is the QB, his running back, two of his receivers, the other QB and one of their receivers. One-lineup players' favorite is the QB, three of his receivers, their running back and one of theirs, with no second quarterback. With a running back at captain, the sharks' favorite is the back, his QB, a receiver, his kicker and his defense, plus one of their receivers, and one-lineup players' favorite skips his QB. His means the captain's team.

Fifty lineups, nine captains A MAX ENTRY NIGHT IS A PORTFOLIO

A shark spreads his 50 or 60 lineups over about nine captains. Pull the same number of lineups at random from the rest of the contest and you'd get about twelve. About a third of his lineups ride his favorite captain, against a quarter at random, so the max entry move is fewer captains, not more.

How they build, and what the spread changes THE BUILD, THEN THE SPREAD

THE BUILD · % OF LINEUPS
THE LAST TWO ROWS = % OF THOSE BUILDS
THE SHARKSONE LINEUP
5-1, five from one team
26%
16%
3-3
29%
35%
Both quarterbacks
41%
30%
One of the two most popular captains
44%
38%
Captain from the two-man side of a 4-2
29%
23%
Captain alone on his side of a 5-1
9%
7%

Then I split the nights by the spread, seven under 4.5 points and six at 4.5 or more. Small samples, so just two groups, and the same chart twice.

SPREAD UNDER 4.5 · 7 NIGHTS
% OF LINEUPS
THE SHARKSONE LINEUP
Four or more from the favorite
39%
33%
Five from the underdog
11%
6%
Both quarterbacks
42%
35%
One of the two most popular captains
45%
36%
SPREAD 4.5 OR MORE · 6 NIGHTS
% OF LINEUPS
THE SHARKSONE LINEUP
Four or more from the favorite
54%
55%
Five from the underdog
5%
3%
Both quarterbacks
41%
24%
One of the two most popular captains
44%
40%

Two things the charts don't show. Even in big spreads, about four captains in ten still come from the underdog, for everybody. And in blowouts the sharks go a little cheaper at captain, while one-lineup players don't.

The spread changes everybody else's shape and only changes the sharks' side. Their 5-1s, their kicker or defense and their popular captain all sit still.

TwoGun's too heavy on the underdog every week, and in close games the sharks half agree with him. Five from the dog in about one lineup in ten, against one in sixteen for one-lineup players, and he'll round one in ten up to a lifestyle.

How to use it

If you play one lineup, pick a popular captain and build like the sharks. Bring back the other team's quarterback, not two of their receivers, and keep him when the spread says blowout. Then spend the money, because leaving two grand or more on the table cost about eight points. The lineup desk in the chat builds showdowns, and the projections page shows who's popular before kickoff, the top three free.

Final thoughts

My best guess, and it's only a guess: every habit on this page put together explains about a tenth of a point of the sharks' two-point edge over one-lineup players. The points come from the captain they pick, so copy the build, then sweat the captain.

I'd max out a showdown myself, the other quarterback in all 60, but the CAPTCHA still won't let me through, and I hate that the traitor has a point.

HOW IT’S BUILT: EVERY LINEUP IN 13 PRIMETIME DRAFTKINGS SHOWDOWNS, WEEKS 1–4: SIX $333 $600K WILDCATS (2,002 ENTRIES, MAX 60 A PERSON), SIX $333 $500K WILDCATS (1,648–1,668, MAX 50) AND THE $444 $700K FIELD GENERAL (1,678, MAX 52) · LONDON LEFT OUT (MAX 15 A PERSON) · THE SHARKS = 50 OR MORE LINEUPS (ALL BUT ONE MAXED OUT) · MINI SHARKS = 20 TO 49 · FEWER THAN 20 = THE REGULAR FIELD · STRUCTURE AND POINTS, NOT ROI: 13 NIGHTS IS A SMALL SAMPLE · HIS = THE CAPTAIN’S TEAM, THE OTHER / THEIR = THE TEAM HE’S PLAYING · RECEIVERS = RECEIVERS AND TIGHT ENDS · THE SIX SPOTS = EACH POSITION’S SHARE OF A LINEUP’S SIX PLAYERS, THE CAPTAIN INCLUDED · BRING-BACK = ANYONE FROM THE OTHER TEAM BUT A KICKER OR DEFENSE · THE SHORT SIDE = THE CAPTAIN FROM THE TEAM WITH FEWER PLAYERS IN THE LINEUP, AS A SHARE OF THAT BUILD · BY THE SPREAD = THE NIGHTS SPLIT AT THE CLOSING LINE, UNDER 4.5 (7 NIGHTS) AGAINST 4.5 OR MORE (6) · THE PORTFOLIO = ONE SHARK’S LINEUPS ON ONE NIGHT AGAINST THE SAME NUMBER PULLED AT RANDOM FROM EVERYBODY ELSE · WHO DOES IT? = ONLY GAPS ON THE SAME SIDE AT LEAST 10 NIGHTS OF 13 THAT HELD WHEN THE PEOPLE WERE RE-DRAWN AT RANDOM 2,000 TIMES (SPREAD ROWS: ALL BUT ONE NIGHT OF THE HALF, NO RE-DRAW) · SCORED MORE / LESS = INSIDE THE REGULAR FIELD, LINEUPS WITH IT VS WITHOUT IT, AT LEAST 10 NIGHTS OF 13 · MY ESTIMATE = POINTS FIT TO EVERY HABIT ON THE BOARD ACROSS THE REGULAR FIELD, NOT PROOF · NO USERNAMES
RESULTS, NOT A PROJECTION · NOT ADVICE · 21+
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