Set your league and every bid re-prices. Bids are a share of the FAAB you have left, not what you started with. No FAAB? Read it top to bottom as your claim order.
1
KC Concepcion
WR · CLE · 42.9% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #4
REAL MONEY$19–$3019–30% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
CLEVELAND'S WR1
KC Concepcion is getting a top-25 share of his team’s targets, and on Sunday he finally got the yards to match. Eight catches for 129 yards on 10 targets against Tennessee, plus three carries for 23 more. He is not a one-week spike: over the season he has drawn about a fifth of Cleveland’s targets, which puts him among the league’s busiest receivers by share. The quarterback play caps the ceiling. The role doesn’t care. He is rostered in 43% of leagues, and he is the best receiver on this list. Cleveland plays at Pittsburgh.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 3 carries, 23 yds · 8 catches on 10 targets, 129 yds
THE MATH:
10.5 a game in the role · worst starter in your league
7 · 70% sure · rest of season ·
HIS DAWG FILE
2
Makai Lemon
WR · PHI · 37.4% ROSTERED +0.1 · SLEEPER ADD #13
A FAIR BID$9–$149–14% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
EAGLES WR, SHORTHANDED
Makai Lemon runs a route on almost every Eagles dropback, and with DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks both out he caught seven of eight targets for 67 yards and a touchdown on Monday night. The rookie has been an every-down receiver all season; what changed is the number of other people to throw to. Smith could return this week, and that would cost Lemon targets, not snaps. Tanner McKee has thrown 80 passes in two starts, so there is volume to go around. Philadelphia plays at Washington on Sunday night.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 7 catches on 8 targets, 67 yds, 1 TD
THE MATH:
9 a game in the role · worst starter in your league
7 · 60% sure · rest of season ·
HIS DAWG FILE
3
Omar Cooper Jr.
WR · NYJ · 34.8% ROSTERED +0.1 · SLEEPER ADD #8
A FAIR BID$6–$106–10% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
TWO STRAIGHT 100-YARD GAMES
Omar Cooper Jr. has two straight 100-yard games with a touchdown in each, and on Sunday he played most of the snaps. Five catches for 115 yards on five targets this week, six for 103 the week before. Last week I said he was the one nobody had. Now 35% of leagues have him, which is a start. The catch rate will come down. He ran a route on seven of every ten dropbacks, and that is the part that lasts. The Jets host Las Vegas.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 5 catches on 5 targets, 115 yds, 1 TD
THE MATH:
8.5 a game in the role · worst starter in your league
7 · 55% sure · rest of season ·
HIS DAWG FILE
4
Ryan Flournoy
WR · DAL · 15.9% ROSTERED +0.1 · SLEEPER ADD #14
A FAIR BID$5–$85–8% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
FULL-TIME IN DALLAS
Ryan Flournoy is a full-time receiver in a Dallas offense that just scored 38 points, and only 16% of leagues have him. Four catches for 70 yards on four targets Monday night, seven for 40 and a touchdown the week before, 90 yards the week before that. He runs a route on three of every four dropbacks and gets about a seventh of the targets. That is a WR3 or flex in most weeks, with no injury needed. Dallas hosts Arizona.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 4 catches on 4 targets, 70 yds
THE MATH: 8 a game in the role · worst starter in your league 7 · 60% sure · rest of season
5
Jaguars D/ST
DST · JAX · 27.9% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #5
THE MINIMUM$1–$21–2% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
WEEK 8 DEFENSE
The Jaguars’ defense is rested off the bye and hosts a Colts offense that threw for 108 yards and an interception last week. Daniel Jones has thrown three interceptions in his last two games. Jacksonville is rostered in 28% of leagues. If your defense is on bye, this is the swap.
THE MATH: 8 a game in the role · worst starter in your league 6.5 · 60% sure · good for about 1 week
6
Kaelon Black
RB · SF · 21.9% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #6
THE MINIMUM$1–$21–2% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
MCCAFFREY'S BACKUP, ON BYE
Kaelon Black is the next man up behind Christian McCaffrey, who hurt his thigh on Sunday, and Black just had his biggest workload since Week 1. Twelve carries for 63 yards and a touchdown against Atlanta, with a lost fumble. Kyle Shanahan sounded optimistic about McCaffrey after the bye, so this is a stash, not a starter. San Francisco is off in Week 8. But McCaffrey’s job is worth more than any running back on this page, and Black is the one who gets it.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 12 carries, 63 yds, 1 TD · 1 catch on 3 targets, -4 yds
THE MATH: 7 a game (5 as it stands, 15 if the man ahead goes down, 20% chance) · worst starter in your league 8 · 60% sure · rest of season
7
Malik Willis
QB · MIA · 6.3% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #45
THE MINIMUM$0–$10–1% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
WEEK 8 QB STREAM
Malik Willis is a running quarterback, and running quarterbacks make the best streamers. On Sunday he threw for 208 yards and two touchdowns and ran eight times for 37 yards and another score. He has run for a touchdown in three of his six starts. Miami hosts New England. He is rostered in 6% of leagues and would start for a lot of the other 94% this week.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 208 pass yds, 2 TD · 8 carries, 37 yds, 1 TD
THE MATH:
16 a game in the role · worst starter in your league
16.2 · 65% sure · good for about 1 week ·
HIS DAWG FILE
8
Mason Taylor
TE · NYJ · 0.3% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #31
THE MINIMUM$0–$10–1% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
DEEP-LEAGUE TE
Mason Taylor has drawn six targets in each of the last two games, and on Sunday he turned them into five catches, 62 yards and two touchdowns. That was a fifth of the team’s looks. He is rostered in fewer than 1% of leagues. Two touchdowns will not repeat. The route share is climbing, and that is how tight ends become startable. The Jets host Las Vegas.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 5 catches on 6 targets, 62 yds, 2 TD
THE MATH: 7 a game in the role · worst starter in your league 7.9 · 45% sure · rest of season
9
Caleb Douglas
WR · MIA · 9.7% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #1
THE MINIMUM$0–$10–1% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
TWO TDS, THREE TARGETS
Caleb Douglas is the most-added player on Sleeper because he scored twice, but he did it on three targets. Two catches, 70 yards, two touchdowns. The real news is underneath: he ran a route on almost four of every five Miami dropbacks, about double his season rate. If that holds, the targets will follow. If it doesn’t, you bought two touchdowns. Bid like it’s a coin flip, because it is.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 2 catches on 3 targets, 70 yds, 2 TD
THE MATH: 6 a game in the role · worst starter in your league 7 · 40% sure · rest of season
10
Darius Cooper
WR · PHI · 14.7% ROSTERED +0.2 · SLEEPER ADD #2
THE MINIMUM$0–$10–1% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
EAGLES WR3, FOR NOW
Darius Cooper is the second-most-added player on Sleeper this week, but he caught one pass for 17 yards on three targets on Monday. The role is real while Smith and Wicks are out: he has been on the field for most of the Eagles’ dropbacks for three weeks. The production is not. One touchdown in Week 5 is doing a lot of work in his reputation. Claim him in deep leagues as a bye-week body. Do not spend real money.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 1 catch on 3 targets, 17 yds
THE MATH: 5.5 a game in the role · worst starter in your league 7 · 40% sure · good for about 2 weeks
11
Colby Parkinson
TE · LAR · 6.6% ROSTERED −0.1 · SLEEPER ADD #47
THE MINIMUM$0–$10–1% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
PASSING HIGBEE
Colby Parkinson has out-targeted Tyler Higbee in back-to-back weeks, which makes him the Rams tight end to hold. Five catches for 48 yards on six targets this week, five for 31 and a touchdown the week before. Higbee had three targets. With Davante Adams out, there are targets to go around. The Rams host the Chargers.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 5 catches on 6 targets, 48 yds
THE MATH: 6 a game in the role · worst starter in your league 7.9 · 40% sure · rest of season
12
Seth McGowan
RB · IND · 4% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #3
THE MINIMUM$0–$10–1% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
TAYLOR'S BACKUP
Seth McGowan is Jonathan Taylor’s backup, and his carries went from four to eleven this week. Eleven carries for 46 yards against Minnesota. Taylor is healthy and still got 18. This is insurance: if Taylor ever misses a game, McGowan is the back, and that job is worth a starter’s points. Four percent of leagues have him.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 11 carries, 46 yds · 1 catch on 1 target, 2 yds
THE MATH: 4.4 a game (3 as it stands, 15 if the man ahead goes down, 12% chance) · worst starter in your league 8 · 50% sure · rest of season
13
Devin Singletary
RB · NYG · 1.7% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #24
THE MINIMUM$0–$10–1% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
GIANTS, TWO HAMSTRINGS
Devin Singletary is the healthy Giants running back after Cam Skattebo and Tyrone Tracy Jr. both hurt hamstrings on Sunday. Five carries for 41 yards and a touchdown, three catches for 14. Early word on Skattebo is that he should be fine after the bye, and New York does not play in Week 8. Tracy has no diagnosis yet. Deep leagues only, and claim him for Week 9.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 5 carries, 41 yds, 1 TD · 3 catches on 3 targets, 14 yds
THE MATH: 4.4 a game (3 as it stands, 10 if the man ahead goes down, 20% chance) · worst starter in your league 8 · 45% sure · rest of season
14
Elijah Mitchell
RB · PHI · 0% ROSTERED · SLEEPER ADD #44
THE MINIMUM$0–$10–1% OF THE FAAB YOU HAVE LEFT
LAST EAGLES RB STANDING
Elijah Mitchell is the Eagles running back who finished Monday night, after Saquon Barkley’s back ended his game in the third quarter and Dameon Pierce left hurt in the fourth. Philadelphia promoted him from the practice squad for the game. Three carries for 11 yards, three catches for 23. Tank Bigsby and Will Shipley are both on injured reserve. Barkley says he will play Sunday, and Pierce has no diagnosis yet, so this is two ifs. If both break the wrong way, Mitchell is the back. Deep leagues only.
WEEK 7 BOX SCORE 3 carries, 11 yds · 3 catches on 4 targets, 23 yds
THE MATH: 4.2 a game (3 as it stands, 11 if the man ahead goes down, 15% chance) · worst starter in your league 8 · 40% sure · rest of season
Nobody on this week’s board is rostered that lightly. Loosen the filter.