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Should I draft Tyler Shough or Sam Darnold? (PPR)
The verdict
Tyler Shough
77%confident
The late-QB coin, called for the younger arm with the better numbers.
Shough out-produced him when playing and projects a point higher; Darnold's our QB24 going QB20 — priced above his sheet, the wrong direction this late.
Neither will headline your league email. One's at least trending upward. 77%.
↻ Re-roll — Darnold's seventeen starts have their own argument.
Tyler Shough QB
NO · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
143.7 · QB19
TwoGun Board
QB18 · #23
Dog
n/a
Sam Darnold QB
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 29
ADP
145.9 · QB20
TwoGun Board
QB24 · #34
Dog
n/a
| Tyler Shough | Sam Darnold | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -4 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 14.4 | 13.8 |
| 2025 games | 11 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 269.7 | 252.2 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 16.5 | 15.4 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 84% | 96% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Sam Darnold or Kyler Murray?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT