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Should I draft Tyler Shough or Sam Darnold? (PPR)
The verdict
Tyler Shough
80%confident
A man whose name I can't pronounce beat a man I can. That should tell you how big the gap is.
Darnold projects 14.8 across a full seventeen and our board files him at QB24 while the room pays QB20. You're buying above our number.
Shough projects 16.1 at QB19 on both boards. If the AI can't pronounce you it usually won't trust you, and I trusted him anyway. That's a point and a third talking. 80%.
↻ Re-roll — I'll take another run at the pronunciation too.
Tyler Shough QB
NO · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
143.4 · QB19
TwoGun Board
QB19 · #33
Dawg
n/a
Sam Darnold QB
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 29
ADP
148.6 · QB20
TwoGun Board
QB24 · #47
Dawg
n/a
| Tyler Shough | Sam Darnold | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -4 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 14.4 | 13.8 |
| 2025 games | 11 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 264.6 | 243.6 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 16.1 | 14.8 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 84% | 96% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Sam Darnold or Kyler Murray?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT