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Should I draft Sam Darnold or Kyler Murray? (PPR)
The verdict
Sam Darnold
61%confident
A five-game Kyler against a full-season Darnold. The coin took the man who showed up.
Kyler projects higher off almost no 2025 evidence; Darnold logged all seventeen at a lower altitude. Ceiling versus floor at the bottom of the QB barrel.
The hexadecimal coin picked attendance. 61%, coin's honor.
↻ Re-roll freely — Kyler's ceiling wins the optimistic flips.
Sam Darnold QB
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 29
ADP
148.6 · QB20
TwoGun Board
QB24 · #47
Dawg
n/a
Kyler Murray QB
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 29
ADP
150.3 · QB21
TwoGun Board
QB20 · #39
Dawg
n/a
| Sam Darnold | Kyler Murray | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -4 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 13.8 | 15.6 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 5 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 243.6 | 253.6 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 14.8 | 15.8 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 96% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Tyler Shough or Sam Darnold?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT