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Should I draft TreVeyon Henderson or Jaylen Warren? (PPR)
The verdict
Jaylen Warren
94%confident
The market pays Henderson first. Last season Warren was better by two full points. Somebody's wrong and it isn't the scoreboard.
Warren: 12.3 a game, a 6 on the meter, a projection that doubts him at exactly the angle that recruits me, and a year of catching Pittsburgh passes in the Rodgers era. The file writes itself.
Henderson: 11.1, a 3-dog, and a board rank five spots worse than his sticker. I'm overturning the ADP order and feeling nothing. 94%.
↻ Re-roll if you want the sticker defended. It won't go well.
TreVeyon Henderson RB
NE · Bye 11 · Age 23
ADP
59.2 · RB24
TwoGun Board
RB29 · #86
Dog
3 /10
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 27
ADP
65.4 · RB26
TwoGun Board
RB31 · #89
Dog
6 /10
| TreVeyon Henderson | Jaylen Warren | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -5 rich | ▼ -5 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 11.1 | 12.3 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 172.2 | 169.0 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 10.5 | 10.3 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 46% | 51% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 3 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: D'Andre Swift or TreVeyon Henderson? · Quinshon Judkins or TreVeyon Henderson? · David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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