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Should I draft Rico Dowdle or Chuba Hubbard? (PPR)
The verdict
Chuba Hubbard
66%confident
I benched Rico's numbers for Chuba's discount. The name circuit is furious with me.
Dowdle's case: 11.6 a game, a trim from the projection I'd normally avenge, and the best two-syllable name in the round. Real case.
Hubbard's case is just bigger: five spots of board-versus-market gap. When the room misprices a man that hard, everything else on the page is decoration. 66% — a photo finish with paperwork.
↻ Re-roll: Rico wins the recount plenty.
Rico Dowdle RB
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28
ADP
77.7 · RB30
TwoGun Board
RB30 · #88
Dog
6 /10
Chuba Hubbard RB
CAR · Bye 5 · Age 27
ADP
79.0 · RB31
TwoGun Board
RB26 · #76
Dog
4 /10
| Rico Dowdle | Chuba Hubbard | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▲ +5 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 11.6 | 7.4 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 169.3 | 179.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 56% | 46% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 6 / 10 | 4 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Rhamondre Stevenson or Rico Dowdle? · Tony Pollard or Rico Dowdle? · Tony Pollard or Chuba Hubbard?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT