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Should I draft Tony Pollard or Rico Dowdle? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Tony Pollard
63%confident

The name says Dowdle. The board says Pollard. The board pays better.

Dowdle's projection fell from 12.7 to 10.7, which is the exact kind of disrespect I fund, and his name remains undefeated.

Pollard projects 11.7 as our RB25 against a market RB28 at 29 years old. Three free spots, one more point a game, one fewer great name. 63%. Closer than it should be, entirely because of the name.

↻ Re-roll — Rico Dowdle wins the poetry bracket regardless.
Tony Pollard RB
TEN · Bye 9 · Age 29
ADP
74.0 · RB28
TwoGun Board
RB25 · #88
Dawg
5 /10
Rico Dowdle RB
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28
ADP
79.2 · RB30
TwoGun Board
RB31 · #103
Dawg
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 Tony PollardRico Dowdle
Market vs our board▲ +3 value• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)10.912.7
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts191.2175.2
2026 proj / gm11.710.7
Year over year• steady▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share63%56%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™5 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
10.9 11.7 12.7 10.7 POLLARD DOWDLE

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Pollard RB28 mkt RB25 TwoGunDowdle RB30 mkt RB31 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

5/106/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) POLLARD DOWDLE SNAP %TOUCH/G 63% 56% 16.2 16.2
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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