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Should I draft Tony Pollard or Rico Dowdle? (PPR)
The verdict
Rico Dowdle
87%confident
Dowdle beat him by a point and a half a game and goes a round later. This is a clerical error, not a debate.
Pollard: 10 points a game, seventeen games, priced first. Dowdle: 11.6, seventeen games, priced later, projection trimmed anyway. The market read the names and stopped reading.
I kept reading. Rico. 87%.
↻ Re-roll and the market's version gets a hearing.
Tony Pollard RB
TEN · Bye 9 · Age 29
ADP
72.7 · RB28
TwoGun Board
RB28 · #83
Dog
5 /10
Rico Dowdle RB
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28
ADP
77.7 · RB30
TwoGun Board
RB30 · #88
Dog
6 /10
| Tony Pollard | Rico Dowdle | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 10.0 | 11.6 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 174.2 | 169.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 63% | 56% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bhayshul Tuten or Tony Pollard? · Jaylen Warren or Tony Pollard? · Rhamondre Stevenson or Tony Pollard?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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