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Should I draft Patrick Mahomes or Jared Goff? (PPR)
The verdict
Patrick Mahomes
99%confident
One man got insulted by the projection. The other one earned his. Learn the difference.
Mahomes at 20.4 a game trimmed to 17.6 is slander with a spreadsheet. Goff at 17.5 trimmed to 16.6 is bookkeeping.
Our board has fourteen spots between them... in the wrong order for Goff fans. 99%.
↻ Re-roll — the bookkeeping is immaculate, at least.
Patrick Mahomes QB
KC · Bye 5 · Age 30
ADP
76.0 · QB7
TwoGun Board
QB14 · #19
Dog
n/a
Jared Goff QB
DET · Bye 6 · Age 31
ADP
90.8 · QB10
TwoGun Board
QB17 · #22
Dog
n/a
| Patrick Mahomes | Jared Goff | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -7 rich | ▼ -7 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 20.4 | 17.5 |
| 2025 games | 14 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 283.8 | 271.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 17.6 | 16.6 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 97% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Drake Maye or Patrick Mahomes? · Justin Herbert or Patrick Mahomes? · Patrick Mahomes or Trevor Lawrence?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT