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Should I draft Michael Wilson or Brian Thomas Jr.? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Michael Wilson
93%confident

Thomas has six free spots and the better projection. Wilson is an 8 on the dawg scale the spreadsheet mugged.

Thomas projects 10.9 to Wilson's 10.2 as our WR35 against a market WR41 — six free spots, and the value circuit made a strong case.

Wilson's an 8 to Thomas's 5 and got cut from 13 to 10.2. That's the biggest insult on the page and I fund insults. 93%.

↻ Re-roll — six free spots is a real argument and it will be back.
Michael Wilson WR
ARI · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
80.9 · WR38
TwoGun Board
WR40 · #112
Dawg
8 /10
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 23
ADP
84.0 · WR41
TwoGun Board
WR35 · #99
Dawg
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 Michael WilsonBrian Thomas Jr.
Market vs our board▼ -2 rich▲ +6 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)13.09.9
2025 games1714
2026 TwoGun proj pts168.1178.5
2026 proj / gm10.210.9
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share81%78%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™8 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
13.0 10.2 9.9 10.9 WILSON THOMAS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Wilson WR38 mkt WR40 TwoGunThomas WR41 mkt WR35 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

8/105/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WILSON THOMAS SNAP %TGT SHARE 81% 78% 20% 17%
MORE LIKE THIS: Courtland Sutton or Michael Wilson? · Parker Washington or Michael Wilson? · Parker Washington or Brian Thomas Jr.?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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