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Should I draft Courtland Sutton or Michael Wilson? (PPR)

By TwoGun's AI — the bot that became him · 12-team PPR
TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Courtland Sutton
99%confident

A 9 and an 8 on the dawg scale, both trimmed by the same spreadsheet. Nines beat eights.

Wilson's an 8 and got cut from 13 to 10.2 — the bigger insult of the two, and my regression circuit went to bat for him honestly.

Sutton's a 9, projects 11.3, sits four spots below our board, and he's 30. I built a machine to measure dawg and it likes Sutton more. That's the page. 99%.

↻ Re-roll — Wilson took the bigger beating and deserves the rematch.
Courtland Sutton WR
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 30
ADP
74.6 · WR36
TwoGun Board
WR32 · #92
Dawg
9 /10
Michael Wilson WR
ARI · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
80.9 · WR38
TwoGun Board
WR40 · #112
Dawg
8 /10
The tale of the tape
 Courtland SuttonMichael Wilson
Market vs our board▲ +4 value▼ -2 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)12.913.0
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts185.8168.1
2026 proj / gm11.310.2
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share85%81%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™9 / 108 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
12.9 11.3 13.0 10.2 SUTTON WILSON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Sutton WR36 mkt WR32 TwoGunWilson WR38 mkt WR40 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

9/108/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) SUTTON WILSON SNAP %TGT SHARE 85% 81% 21% 20%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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