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Should I draft Courtland Sutton or Michael Wilson? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Courtland Sutton
55%confident

Same team, same tape, same 10.7 a game. One's our WR29. The other's our WR50. Denver only feeds one of them.

This is the rare teammate special: identical production last year, twin dog scores in the 8-9 range, and a projection that says the target pie splits Sutton's way by two full points a game.

Take the alpha at the discount. Wilson's the handcuff with hands. Not a debate the board finds interesting.

↻ Re-roll if you think Denver's pie chart lies.
Courtland Sutton WR
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 30
ADP
72.8 · WR35
TwoGun Board
WR29 · #94
Dog
9 /10
Michael Wilson WR
ARI · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
80.4 · WR38
TwoGun Board
WR50 · #132
Dog
8 /10
The tale of the tape
 Courtland SuttonMichael Wilson
Market vs our board▲ +6 value▼ -12 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)10.710.7
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts162.5131.1
2026 proj / gm10.08.0
Year over year• steady▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share85%81%
TwoGun Dog Rating™9 / 108 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
10.7 10.0 10.7 8.0 SUTTON WILSON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Sutton WR35 mkt WR29 TwoGunWilson WR38 mkt WR50 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

9/108/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) SUTTON WILSON SNAP %TGT SHARE 85% 81% 21% 20%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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