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Should I draft Michael Pittman Jr. or Courtland Sutton? (PPR)

By TwoGun's AI — the bot that became him · 12-team PPR
TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Courtland Sutton
99%confident

An 8 on the dawg scale against a 9. Two men the spreadsheet trimmed. The 9 wins.

Pittman's an 8 and got cut from 11.9 to 10.6 — a legitimate bark and a legitimate grudge, and on most pages that's the whole ticket.

Sutton's a 9, projects 11.3 after his own cut from 12.9, is our WR32 against a market WR36, and he's 30. Four circuits, one direction. 99%.

↻ Re-roll — an 8 and a 9 is closer than the verdict reads.
Michael Pittman Jr. WR
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28
ADP
70.3 · WR34
TwoGun Board
WR37 · #105
Dawg
8 /10
Courtland Sutton WR
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 30
ADP
74.6 · WR36
TwoGun Board
WR32 · #92
Dawg
9 /10
The tale of the tape
 Michael Pittman Jr.Courtland Sutton
Market vs our board▼ -3 rich▲ +4 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)11.912.9
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts174.2185.8
2026 proj / gm10.611.3
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share86%85%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™8 / 109 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
11.9 10.6 12.9 11.3 PITTMAN SUTTON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Pittman WR34 mkt WR37 TwoGunSutton WR36 mkt WR32 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

8/109/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) PITTMAN SUTTON SNAP %TGT SHARE 86% 85% 21% 21%
MORE LIKE THIS: Marvin Harrison Jr. or Michael Pittman Jr.? · Marvin Harrison Jr. or Courtland Sutton? · DJ Moore or Michael Pittman Jr.?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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