← TWOGUNGPT
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Caleb Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Matthew Stafford
99%confident
One man is 38. The other is 24. I picked the one closer to a pension. On purpose.
Stafford averaged 20.6 a game last year — best number on this page and it's not close — and the projection pays him back by docking three whole points. The haters have spoken and they brought a calculator.
Caleb's fine. Twenty-four, all seventeen games, arrow pointing up eventually. But 'eventually' doesn't score in September, and a 38-year-old with that dog in him does. Bet on the old guy or admit you're a chicken rooting for the Colonel. 99%.
↻ Re-roll — youth wins the rematch some days. Not many.
Matthew Stafford QB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 38
ADP
101.8 · QB13
TwoGun Board
QB11 · #16
Dog
n/a
Caleb Williams QB
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 24
ADP
109.0 · QB14
TwoGun Board
QB15 · #20
Dog
n/a
| Matthew Stafford | Caleb Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +2 value | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 20.6 | 18.7 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 288.4 | 282.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 17.7 | 17.3 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 99% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Jared Goff or Matthew Stafford? · Jalen Hurts or Matthew Stafford? · Brock Purdy or Matthew Stafford?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT