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Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Caleb Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Caleb Williams
94%confident
Caleb. Next.
Our QB6 going QB14 — eight free spots at 18.7 projected off a full 18.7-a-game season. Stafford's 38 with the projection cutting him to 17.5. Correct question, obvious answer. 94%.
↻ Re-roll if you want jokes. Still Caleb.
Matthew Stafford QB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 38
ADP
102.9 · QB13
TwoGun Board
QB13 · #21
Dawg
n/a
Caleb Williams QB
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 24
ADP
108.2 · QB14
TwoGun Board
QB6 · #12
Dawg
n/a
| Matthew Stafford | Caleb Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▲ +8 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 20.6 | 18.7 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 286.6 | 306.7 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 17.5 | 18.7 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 99% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Jared Goff or Matthew Stafford? · Jalen Hurts or Matthew Stafford? · Brock Purdy or Matthew Stafford?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT