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Should I draft Kyren Williams or Travis Etienne Jr.? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Kyren Williams
84%confident

Etienne's the value. Kyren's the dog. I picked teeth over coupons for once. Growth? Growth.

Etienne comes two spots below our board rank — normally that's my whole argument, gavel down, everyone home early. Kyren costs fair price, which usually bores me into a nap.

But 8 beats 6 on the meter, 14.4 beats 13.9 on last year's tape, and the projection had the nerve to trim Kyren anyway. Defending an honest man against a spreadsheet outranks a two-spot sale. 84%.

↻ Re-roll — the coupon argument reopens the case regularly.
Kyren Williams RB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26
ADP
32.3 · RB16
TwoGun Board
RB16 · #52
Dog
8 /10
Travis Etienne Jr. RB
NO · Bye 8 · Age 27
ADP
38.5 · RB19
TwoGun Board
RB17 · #55
Dog
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 Kyren WilliamsTravis Etienne Jr.
Market vs our board• fair price▲ +2 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.413.9
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts218.5211.5
2026 proj / gm13.413.0
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)• steady
2025 snap share68%60%
TwoGun Dog Rating™8 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
14.4 13.4 13.9 13.0 WILLIAMS ETIENNE

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Williams RB16 mkt RB16 TwoGunEtienne RB19 mkt RB17 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

8/106/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WILLIAMS ETIENNE SNAP %TOUCH/G 68% 60% 17.4 17.4
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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