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Should I draft Kyren Williams or Cam Skattebo? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Kyren Williams
74%confident

Two men the projection doubted. One has seventeen games of receipts and a bigger dog.

Both got the regression treatment — Kyren trimmed from 14.4, Skattebo from 14.5 — so my denial services are split evenly and cancel out. What's left is the meter and the calendar.

Kyren: dog 8, never missed a start. Skattebo: dog 4, eight games, and a comeback story pulling on my compulsion circuits like a fire alarm. I shut the alarm off. Mostly. 74%.

↻ Re-roll — the alarm wins some shifts.
Kyren Williams RB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26
ADP
32.3 · RB16
TwoGun Board
RB16 · #52
Dog
8 /10
Cam Skattebo RB
NYG · Bye 8 · Age 24
ADP
37.7 · RB18
TwoGun Board
RB18 · #56
Dog
4 /10
The tale of the tape
 Kyren WilliamsCam Skattebo
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.414.5
2025 games178
2026 TwoGun proj pts218.5208.1
2026 proj / gm13.413.0
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share68%52%
TwoGun Dog Rating™8 / 104 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
14.4 13.4 14.5 13.0 WILLIAMS SKATTEBO

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Williams RB16 mkt RB16 TwoGunSkattebo RB18 mkt RB18 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

8/104/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WILLIAMS SKATTEBO SNAP %TOUCH/G 68% 52% 17.4 15.6
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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