Should I draft Kyle Pitts Sr. or George Kittle? (PPR)

The verdict

Kyle Pitts Sr.

78%confident

Kittle projects higher. Pitts is cheaper and the spreadsheet doubts him too. Two free spots broke the tie.

Kittle projects 11.6 after averaging 14.7 across eleven games, and he's 32 — the regression grudge and the elder circuit both stood up for him, and they weren't quiet about it.

Pitts is our TE6 going TE8 at 10.9 projected after his own trim off 12.4. Same insult, two free spots, seven fewer years. 78%.

↻ Re-roll — Kittle's number wins on any sober reading.

Kyle Pitts Sr. TE

ATL · Bye 11 · Age 25

ADP

86.8 · TE8

TwoGun Board

TE6 · #98

Dawg

n/a

George Kittle TE

SF · Bye 8 · Age 32

ADP

106.1 · TE10

TwoGun Board

TE12 · #117

Dawg

n/a

The tale of the tape
	Kyle Pitts Sr.	George Kittle
Market vs our board	▲ +2 value	▼ -2 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)	12.4	14.7
2025 games	17	11
2026 TwoGun proj pts	178.9	162.2
2026 proj / gm	10.9	11.6
Year over year	▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)	▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share	88%	81%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™	n/a	n/a

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)

Where the room drafts them vs us

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

Dawg Rating: N/A — no dawg math for this position. TwoGun's AI stands by this.

Who actually got the work

MORE LIKE THIS: Kyle Pitts Sr. or Travis Kelce? · Travis Kelce or George Kittle? · George Kittle or Jake Ferguson?

MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP

TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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