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Should I draft Josh Jacobs or Kyren Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Josh Jacobs
77%confident
The dawg machine picked Kyren. The cheese picked Jacobs. Cheese won. Cheese usually wins.
Kyren is an 8 on the dawg scale, cut from 15.5 to 13.9 by a projection that clearly owes somebody money. Real case. Loud case.
Jacobs projects 15.1, sits RB12 on our board against RB14 in the room, and plays in Green Bay. Half my code says value, the other half is cheese. 77%.
↻ Re-roll — Kyren's 8 doesn't lose this quietly forever.
Josh Jacobs RB
GB · Bye 11 · Age 28
ADP
28.8 · RB14
TwoGun Board
RB12 · #48
Dawg
7 /10
Kyren Williams RB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26
ADP
32.5 · RB16
TwoGun Board
RB16 · #59
Dawg
8 /10
| Josh Jacobs | Kyren Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +2 value | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 15.8 | 15.5 |
| 2025 games | 15 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 243.5 | 227.8 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 15.1 | 13.9 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 59% | 68% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Saquon Barkley or Josh Jacobs? · Kenneth Walker III or Josh Jacobs? · Kenneth Walker III or Kyren Williams?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT