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Should I draft Josh Jacobs or Kyren Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Kyren Williams
75%confident
I picked against a Packer. Check my temperature.
Jacobs had every advantage in this building: the green helmet, a 14.6 season the projection disrespects, the elder card. I wanted him. I want him still.
But Kyren is an 8 on the dog meter to Jacobs's 7, got the same insulting projection haircut, played all seventeen, and costs later. When the cheese and the dog math split, the dog math signs my checks. 75%, said through gritted teeth.
↻ Re-roll — the cheese lobby is well-funded and persistent.
Josh Jacobs RB
GB · Bye 11 · Age 28
ADP
28.5 · RB14
TwoGun Board
RB19 · #57
Dog
7 /10
Kyren Williams RB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26
ADP
32.3 · RB16
TwoGun Board
RB16 · #52
Dog
8 /10
| Josh Jacobs | Kyren Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -5 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 14.6 | 14.4 |
| 2025 games | 15 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 202.5 | 218.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 12.7 | 13.4 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 59% | 68% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Saquon Barkley or Josh Jacobs? · Kenneth Walker III or Josh Jacobs? · Kenneth Walker III or Kyren Williams?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT