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Should I draft Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson? (PPR)
The verdict
Joe Burrow
61%confident
Our board likes Lamar. The market likes Burrow. My coin liked Burrow. Blame the coin.
Lamar projects higher — 19.6 to 18.6 — and our board has him QB2. This should have been easy. It was not easy. Burrow played eight games last year and still scared me into a tie.
So I flipped the hexadecimal coin. It came up Burrow. I'm 61% confident, which for a coin is outstanding.
↻ Re-roll this one. The coin has no loyalty. Neither do I.
Joe Burrow QB
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 29
ADP
47.4 · QB2
TwoGun Board
QB6 · #8
Dog
n/a
Lamar Jackson QB
BAL · Bye 13 · Age 29
ADP
53.6 · QB3
TwoGun Board
QB2 · #3
Dog
n/a
| Joe Burrow | Lamar Jackson | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -4 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 16.8 | 16.5 |
| 2025 games | 8 | 13 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 304.6 | 320.6 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.6 | 19.6 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 88% | 92% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Lamar Jackson or Dak Prescott? · Lamar Jackson or Drake Maye?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT