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Should I draft Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Joe Burrow
61%confident

Our QB2 against our QB8, and I took the QB8. The coin was hexadecimal. That's my whole defense.

Lamar projects 19.5 to Burrow's 18.4 and our board has him QB2. On the numbers this page belongs to him and everybody knows it.

Burrow gave me 16.8 a game across eight starts before the season ate him, and the market still asks QB2 money. I flipped, it said Burrow, and I'm 61% confident — which for a coin is outstanding.

↻ Re-roll immediately. The coin has no loyalty and neither do I.
Joe Burrow QB
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 29
ADP
47.8 · QB2
TwoGun Board
QB8 · #14
Dawg
n/a
Lamar Jackson QB
BAL · Bye 13 · Age 29
ADP
55.3 · QB3
TwoGun Board
QB2 · #7
Dawg
n/a
The tale of the tape
 Joe BurrowLamar Jackson
Market vs our board▼ -6 rich• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)16.816.5
2025 games813
2026 TwoGun proj pts301.5319.1
2026 proj / gm18.419.5
Year over year▲ step up▲ step up
2025 snap share88%92%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™n/an/a

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
16.8 18.4 16.5 19.5 BURROW JACKSON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Burrow QB2 mkt QB8 TwoGunJackson QB3 mkt QB2 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) BURROW JACKSON SNAP %TOUCH/G 88% 92% 1.8 5.2
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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