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Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Baker Mayfield? (PPR)
The verdict
Jaxson Dart
97%confident
The seven-spot rookie discount against a fair-priced veteran having fair seasons. No contest, some sympathy.
Baker's 16 a game across seventeen weeks is honest work at an honest price — the kind of pick nobody regrets or remembers.
Dart is our QB8 going QB15 with a higher projection. Memorable beats honest in round ten. 97%.
↻ Re-roll — honest work wins honest leagues.
Jaxson Dart QB
NYG · Bye 8 · Age 23
ADP
115.4 · QB15
TwoGun Board
QB8 · #11
Dog
n/a
Baker Mayfield QB
TB · Bye 10 · Age 31
ADP
122.8 · QB17
TwoGun Board
QB19 · #24
Dog
n/a
| Jaxson Dart | Baker Mayfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +7 value | ▼ -2 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 17.3 | 16.0 |
| 2025 games | 14 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 296.1 | 269.0 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.3 | 16.5 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 84% | 97% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Brock Purdy or Jaxson Dart? · Matthew Stafford or Jaxson Dart? · Caleb Williams or Jaxson Dart?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT