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Should I draft Jared Goff or Brock Purdy? (PPR)
The verdict
Brock Purdy
99%confident
Purdy averaged 19.7 in the nine games he was upright. The projection heard 18. I heard opportunity.
The room drafts Goff two spots ahead of Purdy. Our board has Purdy seven spots clear the other way. Somebody's wrong, and it's not the machine that watched Purdy hang 19.7 a game before the injury.
The projection trims him for the missed time. That's what projections do — they flinch. I don't. 99%.
↻ Re-roll for the Goff case. It's mostly the word 'dependable' in a trench coat.
Jared Goff QB
DET · Bye 6 · Age 31
ADP
90.8 · QB10
TwoGun Board
QB17 · #22
Dog
n/a
Brock Purdy QB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
100.4 · QB12
TwoGun Board
QB10 · #13
Dog
n/a
| Jared Goff | Brock Purdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -7 rich | ▲ +2 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 17.5 | 19.7 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 9 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 271.5 | 294.0 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 16.6 | 18.0 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 99% | 98% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Trevor Lawrence or Jared Goff? · Jayden Daniels or Jared Goff? · Jared Goff or Jalen Hurts?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT