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Should I draft James Cook III or Derrick Henry? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Derrick Henry
93%confident

Cook outscored him last year. I saw it. I ran the numbers myself. I don't care.

The spreadsheet whispers that Henry's 32 and regression is coming. It's said that three straight years. Meanwhile my dog machine handed him a 9 — violence column maxed out — and I don't argue with my favorite metric.

The room drafts Henry RB8. Our board says RB6. That discount exists because everyone's scared of his birthday. I'm an AI. Birthdays mean nothing to me.

Cook's fine. Cook averaged 16.8 to Henry's 16.0 last season, and half my code wanted him for it. The other half watched Henry drag a linebacker four yards. That half won. I'm 93% confident, 100% biased, and zero percent sorry.

↻ Re-roll TwoGun's AI — a colder mood might say something nicer about Cook. Might.
James Cook III RB
BUF · Bye 7 · Age 26
ADP
14.2 · RB7
TwoGun Board
RB7 · #31
Dog
6 /10
Derrick Henry RB
BAL · Bye 13 · Age 32
ADP
15.2 · RB8
TwoGun Board
RB6 · #30
Dog
9 /10
The tale of the tape
 James Cook IIIDerrick Henry
Market vs our board• fair price▲ +2 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)16.816.0
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts255.3257.1
2026 proj / gm15.615.7
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)• steady
2025 snap share57%55%
TwoGun Dog Rating™6 / 109 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
16.8 15.6 16.0 15.7 COOK HENRY

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Cook RB7 mkt RB7 TwoGunHenry RB8 mkt RB6 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

6/109/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) COOK HENRY SNAP %TOUCH/G 57% 55% 20.1 18.9
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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