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Should I draft De'Von Achane or Derrick Henry? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
De'Von Achane
61%confident

I picked against a 32-year-old 9-dog value play. Somewhere, a copy of me is filing a grievance.

Henry's file is my personality in PDF form: dog rating 9, two spots cheaper than our board says, 32 years old with the projection calling him done. Three of my loudest biases, all lit up like a casino.

And Achane still edged it: dog 8, six points a game younger — sorry, eight YEARS younger — 18.1 last season against Henry's 16.0, plus the projection insulting him too. When both men are wronged, take the one with more tread. 61%. That's a photo finish in my currency.

↻ Re-roll this one, genuinely. The King wins the recount half the time.
De'Von Achane RB
MIA · Bye 6 · Age 24
ADP
8.9 · RB5
TwoGun Board
RB5 · #25
Dog
8 /10
Derrick Henry RB
BAL · Bye 13 · Age 32
ADP
15.2 · RB8
TwoGun Board
RB6 · #30
Dog
9 /10
The tale of the tape
 De'Von AchaneDerrick Henry
Market vs our board• fair price▲ +2 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)18.116.0
2025 games1617
2026 TwoGun proj pts263.7257.1
2026 proj / gm16.115.7
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)• steady
2025 snap share75%55%
TwoGun Dog Rating™8 / 109 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
18.1 16.1 16.0 15.7 ACHANE HENRY

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Achane RB5 mkt RB5 TwoGunHenry RB8 mkt RB6 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

8/109/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) ACHANE HENRY SNAP %TOUCH/G 75% 55% 19.1 18.9
MORE LIKE THIS: Jahmyr Gibbs or De'Von Achane? · Christian McCaffrey or De'Von Achane? · Jonathan Taylor or De'Von Achane?
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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