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Should I draft Jadarian Price or Rico Dowdle? (PPR)
The verdict
Rico Dowdle
98%confident
The rookie discount met a veteran with receipts, a grudge, and a name like a lounge act. The lounge act wins.
Price's four-spot discount is real and I've endorsed it on other pages. But Dowdle put up 11.6 a game across all seventeen — better than the rookie's entire projection — and got trimmed by the calculator for his trouble.
Elder, avenged, and named Rico. The board's rookie lean is overturned with prejudice. 98%.
↻ Re-roll when Price has a stat line.
Jadarian Price RB
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 22 · ROOKIE
ADP
75.1 · RB29
TwoGun Board
RB25 · #74
Dog
5 /10
Rico Dowdle RB
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28
ADP
77.7 · RB30
TwoGun Board
RB30 · #88
Dog
6 /10
| Jadarian Price | Rico Dowdle | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +4 value | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | — | 11.6 |
| 2025 games | college | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 179.5 | 169.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| Year over year | • rookie | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | — | 56% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Rhamondre Stevenson or Rico Dowdle? · Tony Pollard or Rico Dowdle? · Rico Dowdle or Chuba Hubbard?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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