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Should I draft J.K. Dobbins or Kenny Gainwell? (PPR)
The verdict
Kenny Gainwell
89%confident
Dobbins per-game beats him. Gainwell every-game beats him. I pay for games played.
It's close and honest: Dobbins at 11 a game in ten appearances, Gainwell at 10.9 across all seventeen. Same projection insult, same round, same amount of league-wide indifference.
Tiebreakers: Gainwell's two spots under board value, and his year in the Pittsburgh building with Rodgers counts for exactly as much as I decide it does. 89%.
↻ Re-roll — ten healthy Dobbins games is a real lottery ticket.
J.K. Dobbins RB
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
94.7 · RB34
TwoGun Board
RB35 · #110
Dog
5 /10
Kenny Gainwell RB
TB · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
100.6 · RB35
TwoGun Board
RB33 · #106
Dog
5 /10
| J.K. Dobbins | Kenny Gainwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▲ +2 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 11.0 | 10.9 |
| 2025 games | 10 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 146.6 | 150.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 51% | 50% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: RJ Harvey or J.K. Dobbins? · RJ Harvey or Kenny Gainwell? · Aaron Jones Sr. or J.K. Dobbins?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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