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Should I draft Isiah Pacheco or Zach Charbonnet? (PPR)
The verdict
Zach Charbonnet
89%confident
Pacheco's discount is bigger. Charbonnet's season actually happened. Recent evidence beats deeper markdown.
The board favors Pacheco by six spots of mispricing and the comeback file — real arguments, both heard.
But Charbonnet put up 10.7 a game just last season, nearly double Pacheco's 6, with the better meter and his own projection insult to avenge. A discount on a man who stopped producing is just a cheaper maybe. Overturned. 89%.
↻ Re-roll — six spots of markdown wins plenty of re-runs.
Isiah Pacheco RB
DET · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
153.8 · RB45
TwoGun Board
RB39 · #137
Dog
3 /10
Zach Charbonnet RB
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 25
ADP
154.1 · RB46
TwoGun Board
RB44 · #161
Dog
5 /10
| Isiah Pacheco | Zach Charbonnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +6 value | ▲ +2 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 6.0 | 10.7 |
| 2025 games | 13 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 124.0 | 108.8 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 7.6 | 8.8 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 52% | 48% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 3 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Alvin Kamara or Isiah Pacheco? · Isiah Pacheco or Tank Bigsby? · Isiah Pacheco or Chris Rodriguez Jr.?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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