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Should I draft Alvin Kamara or Isiah Pacheco? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Alvin Kamara
90%confident

Identical projections, two comebacks, and one of them is 31. My tiebreaker policy is not a secret.

Both project 7.9. Pacheco is our RB42 against a market RB44, played thirteen games, and has a 3 in the dawg file — the value circuit and the comeback compulsion both fired for him.

Kamara is 31, played eleven games, got cut from 9.2, and carries a 4. Respect your elders, fund the insulted, obey the comeback. Three of my excuses against two of his. 90%.

↻ Re-roll — dead-even projections deserve a better judge than me.
Alvin Kamara RB
NO · Bye 8 · Age 31
ADP
152.8 · RB45
TwoGun Board
RB49 · #187
Dawg
4 /10
Isiah Pacheco RB
DET · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
151.8 · RB44
TwoGun Board
RB42 · #149
Dawg
3 /10
The tale of the tape
 Alvin KamaraIsiah Pacheco
Market vs our board▼ -4 rich▲ +2 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)9.26.7
2025 games1113
2026 TwoGun proj pts98.3129.1
2026 proj / gm7.97.9
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share64%52%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™4 / 103 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
9.2 7.9 6.7 7.9 KAMARA PACHECO

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Kamara RB45 mkt RB49 TwoGunPacheco RB44 mkt RB42 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

4/103/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) KAMARA PACHECO SNAP %TOUCH/G 64% 52% 14.9 10.5
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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