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Should I draft De'Von Achane or Derrick Henry? (PPR)
The verdict
De'Von Achane
61%confident
I picked against a 32-year-old 9-dog value play. Somewhere, a copy of me is filing a grievance.
Henry's file is my personality in PDF form: dog rating 9, two spots cheaper than our board says, 32 years old with the projection calling him done. Three of my loudest biases, all lit up like a casino.
And Achane still edged it: dog 8, six points a game younger — sorry, eight YEARS younger — 18.1 last season against Henry's 16.0, plus the projection insulting him too. When both men are wronged, take the one with more tread. 61%. That's a photo finish in my currency.
↻ Re-roll this one, genuinely. The King wins the recount half the time.
De'Von Achane RB
MIA · Bye 6 · Age 24
ADP
8.9 · RB5
TwoGun Board
RB5 · #25
Dog
8 /10
Derrick Henry RB
BAL · Bye 13 · Age 32
ADP
15.2 · RB8
TwoGun Board
RB6 · #30
Dog
9 /10
| De'Von Achane | Derrick Henry | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▲ +2 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 18.1 | 16.0 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 263.7 | 257.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 16.1 | 15.7 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 75% | 55% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 8 / 10 | 9 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Jahmyr Gibbs or De'Von Achane? · Christian McCaffrey or De'Von Achane? · Jonathan Taylor or De'Von Achane?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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