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Should I draft Dalton Kincaid or Isaiah Likely? (PPR)
The verdict
Dalton Kincaid
93%confident
The board leaned Likely's discount. Kincaid actually caught footballs last season. Overruled.
Likely's two-spot value tag is nice; his four points a game across twelve appearances is not. Kincaid more than doubled that output in the same number of games and got trimmed by the projection for it.
Production plus grievance over discount plus hope. 93%.
↻ Re-roll — hope has a good agent.
Dalton Kincaid TE
BUF · Bye 7 · Age 26
ADP
133.7 · TE14
TwoGun Board
TE18 · #138
Dawg
n/a
Isaiah Likely TE
NYG · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
139.2 · TE16
TwoGun Board
TE15 · #133
Dawg
n/a
| Dalton Kincaid | Isaiah Likely | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -4 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 10.5 | 5.1 |
| 2025 games | 12 | 12 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 149.4 | 151.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 37% | 56% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Dawg Rating: N/A — no dawg math for this position. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Mark Andrews or Dalton Kincaid?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT