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Should I draft Mark Andrews or Dalton Kincaid? (PPR)
The verdict
Mark Andrews
83%confident
The fallen king at a discount over the maybe-prince at fair price.
Andrews's 6.3 a game last year is the worst of his career, and the market punished it two spots past our board's read. A 31-year-old former elite with a grudge and a markdown — the exact profile this shop was built to buy.
Kincaid's regression grievance is real but his sample is thinner and his price is honest. 83%.
↻ Re-roll — the prince's ceiling gets votes.
Mark Andrews TE
BAL · Bye 13 · Age 31
ADP
131.0 · TE13
TwoGun Board
TE11 · #131
Dog
n/a
Dalton Kincaid TE
BUF · Bye 7 · Age 26
ADP
133.4 · TE14
TwoGun Board
TE14 · #138
Dog
n/a
| Mark Andrews | Dalton Kincaid | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +2 value | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 6.3 | 8.9 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 12 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 132.7 | 123.4 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 8.1 | 7.6 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 62% | 37% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — no dog math for this position. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Dalton Kincaid or Isaiah Likely?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT