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Should I draft Courtland Sutton or Michael Wilson? (PPR)
The verdict
Courtland Sutton
55%confident
Same team, same tape, same 10.7 a game. One's our WR29. The other's our WR50. Denver only feeds one of them.
This is the rare teammate special: identical production last year, twin dog scores in the 8-9 range, and a projection that says the target pie splits Sutton's way by two full points a game.
Take the alpha at the discount. Wilson's the handcuff with hands. Not a debate the board finds interesting.
↻ Re-roll if you think Denver's pie chart lies.
Courtland Sutton WR
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 30
ADP
72.8 · WR35
TwoGun Board
WR29 · #94
Dog
9 /10
Michael Wilson WR
ARI · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
80.4 · WR38
TwoGun Board
WR50 · #132
Dog
8 /10
| Courtland Sutton | Michael Wilson | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +6 value | ▼ -12 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 162.5 | 131.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 85% | 81% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 9 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Marvin Harrison Jr. or Courtland Sutton? · DJ Moore or Courtland Sutton? · Michael Pittman Jr. or Courtland Sutton?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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