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Should I draft Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Christian McCaffrey
60%confident

Two men the spreadsheet is scared of. One of them projects four more points a game.

Taylor: 9 on the dawg scale, 21.3 a game last year, cut to 18.3. Every button I have, pressed at once. McCaffrey: 24.5 a game last year, cut to 22.1, and he's 30 — seen things.

22.1 beats 18.3. That's the whole page. 60%, and the dawg file is not speaking to me.

↻ Re-roll — Taylor's 9 gets louder every time I look at it.
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 30
ADP
4.9 · RB3
TwoGun Board
RB2 · #4
Dawg
5 /10
Jonathan Taylor RB
IND · Bye 13 · Age 27
ADP
7.7 · RB4
TwoGun Board
RB4 · #15
Dawg
9 /10
The tale of the tape
 Christian McCaffreyJonathan Taylor
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)24.521.3
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts357.6300.6
2026 proj / gm22.118.3
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share83%83%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™5 / 109 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
24.5 22.1 21.3 18.3 MCCAFFREY TAYLOR

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better McCaffrey RB3 mkt RB2 TwoGunTaylor RB4 mkt RB4 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

5/109/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) MCCAFFREY TAYLOR SNAP %TOUCH/G 83% 83% 24.3 21.7
MORE LIKE THIS: Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey? · Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor? · Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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