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Should I draft Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor? (PPR)
The verdict
Jonathan Taylor
77%confident
Two men the spreadsheet tried to retire. Only one of them scored a 9 on the dog scale.
McCaffrey averaged 21.5, got projected 17.8. Taylor averaged 20, got projected 17.8. Identical insults, identical targets on the calculator's wall. I'd defend either man in an alley.
The tiebreak is the meter: Taylor 9, McCaffrey 5, and three fewer birthdays on the odometer. When both guys are discounts, buy the one that still breaks tackles. 77%, which for a two-front war is composure.
↻ Re-roll — the 21.5 argument wins its share of appeals.
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 30
ADP
4.8 · RB3
TwoGun Board
RB4 · #15
Dog
5 /10
Jonathan Taylor RB
IND · Bye 13 · Age 27
ADP
7.6 · RB4
TwoGun Board
RB3 · #14
Dog
9 /10
| Christian McCaffrey | Jonathan Taylor | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 21.5 | 20.0 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 288.5 | 290.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 17.8 | 17.8 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 83% | 83% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 9 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey? · Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor? · Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT