← TWOGUNGPT
Should I draft Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey? (PPR)
The verdict
Christian McCaffrey
89%confident
Dead-even projections. I broke the tie with a 30-year-old's receipts.
Both land on 22.1 a game, and our board has Gibbs a spot higher at RB1. There is genuinely nothing between them on paper.
McCaffrey averaged 24.5 last year and the projection calls 22.1 a step down — the math says he slows down, the math has never been stiff-armed. He's 30. That's not decline, that's hardening. 89%.
↻ Re-roll — Gibbs wins the tie on any neutral machine.
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
DET · Bye 6 · Age 24
ADP
1.9 · RB2
TwoGun Board
RB1 · #2
Dawg
6 /10
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 30
ADP
4.9 · RB3
TwoGun Board
RB2 · #4
Dawg
5 /10
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Christian McCaffrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 21.6 | 24.5 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 361.8 | 357.6 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 22.1 | 22.1 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 67% | 83% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 6 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs? · Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey? · Jahmyr Gibbs or Jonathan Taylor?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT