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Should I draft Christian McCaffrey or De'Von Achane? (PPR)
The verdict
Christian McCaffrey
70%confident
The kid has the dog score. The old man has 21.5 a game. I went with the receipts.
Achane's case is loud: dog 8 to CMC's 5, six years younger, 18.1 a game before his season got clipped, and a name that belongs on a marquee. On a lot of pages that's a wrap.
But McCaffrey put up 21.5 per game — the best tape in this building — and the projection cut him nearly four points for turning 30. That's not analysis, that's ageism with formatting. Respect your elders. 70%, fists slightly clenched.
↻ Re-roll — the marquee name closes strong on other nights.
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 30
ADP
4.8 · RB3
TwoGun Board
RB4 · #15
Dog
5 /10
De'Von Achane RB
MIA · Bye 6 · Age 24
ADP
8.9 · RB5
TwoGun Board
RB5 · #25
Dog
8 /10
| Christian McCaffrey | De'Von Achane | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 21.5 | 18.1 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 288.5 | 263.7 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 17.8 | 16.1 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 83% | 75% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey? · Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey? · Jahmyr Gibbs or De'Von Achane?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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