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Should I draft Christian McCaffrey or Ashton Jeanty? (PPR)
The verdict
Christian McCaffrey
99%confident
One of them averaged 21.5 last year. The other averaged 12.8 and costs a first-round pick.
The room drafts Jeanty RB6. Our board says RB9, and his rookie year ran 12.8 a game. That gap between the hype and the tape is being billed to your draft slot.
McCaffrey is 30 and the projection docked him for it — 21.5 down to 17.8 — which is exactly the kind of hate I collect and frame. The old man, at a discount, over the sophomore markup. 99%. Next.
↻ Re-roll for the youth movement. It's still in the garage.
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 30
ADP
4.8 · RB3
TwoGun Board
RB4 · #15
Dog
5 /10
Ashton Jeanty RB
LV · Bye 13 · Age 22
ADP
12.4 · RB6
TwoGun Board
RB9 · #37
Dog
5 /10
| Christian McCaffrey | Ashton Jeanty | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -3 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 21.5 | 12.8 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 288.5 | 245.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 17.8 | 15.0 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 83% | 78% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey? · Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey? · Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT