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Should I draft Chris Olave or Nico Collins? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Nico Collins
67%confident

Olave catches everything gently. Nico catches everything angrily. Anger travels better through December.

Olave out-scored him last year and got the projection trim I usually turn into a crusade — his case is real and I want that acknowledged before I bury it.

Nico's an 8 on the meter to Olave's 4, and matching production with double the violence is how you survive when the weather and the coverage both get mean. 67%.

↻ Re-roll — gentle hands win the indoor months.
Chris Olave WR
NO · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
21.0 · WR10
TwoGun Board
WR12 · #63
Dog
4 /10
Nico Collins WR
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 27
ADP
23.2 · WR11
TwoGun Board
WR11 · #62
Dog
8 /10
The tale of the tape
 Chris OlaveNico Collins
Market vs our board▼ -2 rich• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)13.612.7
2025 games1615
2026 TwoGun proj pts198.2199.8
2026 proj / gm12.112.2
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)• steady
2025 snap share84%77%
TwoGun Dog Rating™4 / 108 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
13.6 12.1 12.7 12.2 OLAVE COLLINS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Olave WR10 mkt WR12 TwoGunCollins WR11 mkt WR11 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

4/108/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) OLAVE COLLINS SNAP %TGT SHARE 84% 77% 28% 22%
MORE LIKE THIS: Drake London or Chris Olave? · A.J. Brown or Chris Olave? · A.J. Brown or Nico Collins?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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