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Should I draft Chase Brown or Saquon Barkley? (PPR)
The verdict
Saquon Barkley
99%confident
The market let Saquon Barkley fall to RB11. I don't ask why gifts arrive. I sign for them.
One quiet year — 13.4 a game — and the room panicked him down the board while ours holds him at RB8. Three free spots on a 29-year-old with an 8 on the dog meter and the biggest bounce-back projection at the position.
Chase Brown is dependable. Saquon at a discount is a felony to pass on. 99%.
↻ Re-roll if dependable is your love language.
Chase Brown RB
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
16.0 · RB9
TwoGun Board
RB10 · #38
Dog
7 /10
Saquon Barkley RB
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 29
ADP
19.7 · RB11
TwoGun Board
RB8 · #35
Dog
8 /10
| Chase Brown | Saquon Barkley | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▲ +3 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 14.6 | 13.4 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 234.5 | 250.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 14.4 | 15.3 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 67% | 78% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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