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Should I draft CeeDee Lamb or A.J. Brown? (PPR)
The verdict
A.J. Brown
89%confident
Lamb costs a round more to score half a point more. A.J. noticed. So did I.
Their down years were nearly twins — 12.6 and 12.1 a game — but only one comes with an 8 on the dog scale, extra years of scar tissue, and a market discount for the crime of turning 29.
Older, meaner, cheaper. That's not a tiebreaker, that's my mission statement. Overturned. 89%.
↻ Re-roll — Lamb's ceiling gets a vote sometimes.
CeeDee Lamb WR
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 27
ADP
10.7 · WR6
TwoGun Board
WR5 · #44
Dog
6 /10
A.J. Brown WR
NE · Bye 11 · Age 29
ADP
14.3 · WR8
TwoGun Board
WR9 · #58
Dog
8 /10
| CeeDee Lamb | A.J. Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 12.6 | 12.1 |
| 2025 games | 13 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 227.9 | 202.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 14.0 | 12.4 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 73% | 91% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 6 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Jaxon Smith-Njigba or CeeDee Lamb? · Amon-Ra St. Brown or CeeDee Lamb? · Justin Jefferson or CeeDee Lamb?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT