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Should I draft Carnell Tate or Michael Pittman Jr.? (PPR)
The verdict
Michael Pittman Jr.
85%confident
The 8-dog with a full season beats the rookie with a full imagination.
The board narrowly leans Tate and I understand the ceiling math. But Pittman played every week, scored 9.6 a game, and the meter reads 8 — physical evidence versus projected promise.
In the middle rounds I draft men who have already hit somebody. Overturned. 85%.
↻ Re-roll — imagination drafts well in July.
Carnell Tate WR
TEN · Bye 9 · Age 21 · ROOKIE
ADP
63.6 · WR31
TwoGun Board
WR35 · #103
Dog
5 /10
Michael Pittman Jr. WR
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28
ADP
71.6 · WR34
TwoGun Board
WR39 · #109
Dog
8 /10
| Carnell Tate | Michael Pittman Jr. | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -4 rich | ▼ -5 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | — | 9.6 |
| 2025 games | college | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 151.2 | 146.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| Year over year | • rookie | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | — | 86% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Marvin Harrison Jr. or Michael Pittman Jr.? · DJ Moore or Michael Pittman Jr.? · Michael Pittman Jr. or Courtland Sutton?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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