Should I draft Carnell Tate or Michael Pittman Jr.? (PPR)

The verdict

Michael Pittman Jr.

85%confident

The rookie projects higher and goes cheaper. Pittman is an 8 on the dawg scale. The bark won.

Tate projects 12.1 as our WR26 against a market WR31 — five free spots on a 21-year-old. Every neutral number says Tate.

Pittman is an 8 in the dawg file to Tate's 5 and got cut from 11.9 to 10.6 across a full seventeen. Bark plus grudge beats a projection I can't verify yet. 85%.

↻ Re-roll — the rookie's number is real and my nerve isn't.

Carnell Tate WR

TEN · Bye 9 · Age 21 · ROOKIE

ADP

62.5 · WR31

TwoGun Board

WR26 · #79

Dawg

5 /10

Michael Pittman Jr. WR

PIT · Bye 9 · Age 28

ADP

70.3 · WR34

TwoGun Board

WR37 · #105

Dawg

8 /10

The tale of the tape
	Carnell Tate	Michael Pittman Jr.
Market vs our board	▲ +5 value	▼ -3 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)	—	11.9
2025 games	college	17
2026 TwoGun proj pts	198.6	174.2
2026 proj / gm	12.1	10.6
Year over year	• rookie	▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share	—	86%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™	5 / 10	8 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)

Where the room drafts them vs us

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

Who actually got the work

MORE LIKE THIS: Marvin Harrison Jr. or Michael Pittman Jr.? · DJ Moore or Michael Pittman Jr.? · Michael Pittman Jr. or Courtland Sutton?

MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP

TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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