← TWOGUNGPT
Should I draft Brock Purdy or Matthew Stafford? (PPR)
The verdict
Brock Purdy
81%confident
A 38-year-old the math is scared of, against a 26-year-old the math is scared of. I fought myself for four seconds.
Stafford hung 20.6 a game across a full seventeen and the projection docks him to 17.5 anyway. He's 38. Respect your elders. Both circuits fired for him and they weren't wrong.
But Purdy is our QB5 going QB12 — seven free spots — projected 18.7 after 19.7 through nine games. Same disrespect, bigger discount, younger knees. 81%. The elder circuit is filing a complaint.
↻ Re-roll — the old man takes this page plenty of nights.
Brock Purdy QB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
101.0 · QB12
TwoGun Board
QB5 · #11
Dawg
n/a
Matthew Stafford QB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 38
ADP
102.9 · QB13
TwoGun Board
QB13 · #21
Dawg
n/a
| Brock Purdy | Matthew Stafford | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +7 value | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 19.7 | 20.6 |
| 2025 games | 9 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 307.0 | 286.6 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.7 | 17.5 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 98% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Jared Goff or Brock Purdy? · Jared Goff or Matthew Stafford? · Jalen Hurts or Brock Purdy?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT