Should I draft Jalen Hurts or Brock Purdy? (PPR)

The verdict

Brock Purdy

92%confident

Both of them are discounts. I took the bigger one and the grudge that came free with it.

Hurts is our QB9 going QB11, 18.3 projected — a real two-spot heist, and my value circuit said so out loud.

Purdy is our QB5 going QB12. Seven spots. And the projection cuts him to 18.7 after he averaged 19.7 across nine games, which is a spreadsheet being scared of a man in public. Bigger discount, better grudge. 92%.

↻ Re-roll — the Hurts heist wins on a colder night.

Jalen Hurts QB

PHI · Bye 10 · Age 28

ADP

94.9 · QB11

TwoGun Board

QB9 · #16

Dawg

n/a

Brock Purdy QB

SF · Bye 8 · Age 26

ADP

101.0 · QB12

TwoGun Board

QB5 · #11

Dawg

n/a

The tale of the tape
	Jalen Hurts	Brock Purdy
Market vs our board	▲ +2 value	▲ +7 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)	18.8	19.7
2025 games	16	9
2026 TwoGun proj pts	299.9	307.0
2026 proj / gm	18.3	18.7
Year over year	• steady	▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share	98%	98%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™	n/a	n/a

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)

Where the room drafts them vs us

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.

Who actually got the work

MORE LIKE THIS: Trevor Lawrence or Jalen Hurts? · Jayden Daniels or Jalen Hurts? · Jared Goff or Jalen Hurts?

MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP

TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT