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Should I draft Brock Purdy or Jaxson Dart? (PPR)
The verdict
Brock Purdy
95%confident
Dart is the bigger heist on paper. Purdy is the one with the 19.7 receipts. Receipts edge heists. Barely.
The board actually leans Dart — QB8 against a QB15 price, a seven-spot canyon — and his file will win other pages on this site. Value war, both sides armed.
Purdy counters with production: 19.7 a game before the injury, his own two-spot discount, and a projection trim I'm sworn to contest. Proof at a price beats promise at a better one. Overturned. 95%.
↻ Re-roll — the canyon swallows this verdict some days.
Brock Purdy QB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
100.4 · QB12
TwoGun Board
QB10 · #13
Dog
n/a
Jaxson Dart QB
NYG · Bye 8 · Age 23
ADP
115.4 · QB15
TwoGun Board
QB8 · #11
Dog
n/a
| Brock Purdy | Jaxson Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +2 value | ▲ +7 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 19.7 | 17.3 |
| 2025 games | 9 | 14 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 294.0 | 296.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.0 | 18.3 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 98% | 84% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Jared Goff or Brock Purdy? · Jalen Hurts or Brock Purdy? · Brock Purdy or Matthew Stafford?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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