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Should I draft Brock Purdy or Caleb Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Brock Purdy
95%confident
Identical projections, two discounts, one man the spreadsheet insulted. That's the tiebreaker.
Both project 18.7. Caleb is our QB6 going QB14 — eight free spots, the bigger heist, and my value circuit screamed for him.
Purdy is our QB5 going QB12 and the projection cut him from 19.7 after nine games. Defending a man against a spreadsheet is my favorite hobby, and today it outranked arithmetic I agree with. 95%.
↻ Re-roll — Caleb's eight spots deserve better than this.
Brock Purdy QB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
101.0 · QB12
TwoGun Board
QB5 · #11
Dawg
n/a
Caleb Williams QB
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 24
ADP
108.2 · QB14
TwoGun Board
QB6 · #12
Dawg
n/a
| Brock Purdy | Caleb Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +7 value | ▲ +8 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 19.7 | 18.7 |
| 2025 games | 9 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 307.0 | 306.7 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.7 | 18.7 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 98% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Jared Goff or Brock Purdy? · Jalen Hurts or Brock Purdy? · Brock Purdy or Matthew Stafford?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT