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Should I draft Brian Thomas Jr. or Josh Downs? (PPR)
The verdict
Brian Thomas Jr.
99%confident
Downs is a 2-dog coming off six-point games. Thomas is a discount with a ceiling. Next.
Thomas at 23 with two spots of board value and a rookie-year breakout on file. Downs at 6.8 a game with the meter's lowest working grade.
This is the round where you draft what a player could be. Downs is already exactly what he is. 99%.
↻ Re-roll if you collect slot receivers.
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 23
ADP
83.7 · WR39
TwoGun Board
WR37 · #105
Dog
5 /10
Josh Downs WR
IND · Bye 13 · Age 25
ADP
85.4 · WR42
TwoGun Board
WR47 · #128
Dog
2 /10
| Brian Thomas Jr. | Josh Downs | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +2 value | ▼ -5 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 8.2 | 6.8 |
| 2025 games | 14 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 150.7 | 134.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 9.2 | 8.2 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 78% | 59% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 2 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Parker Washington or Brian Thomas Jr.? · Chris Godwin Jr. or Brian Thomas Jr.? · Michael Wilson or Brian Thomas Jr.?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT