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Should I draft Breece Hall or Kyren Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Kyren Williams
97%confident
Our board likes Hall. The market likes Hall. The dog machine looked at Kyren and said 'him.'
The respectable pick is Hall — RB13 on our board against Kyren's RB16, two spots of market discount, and yes, the Rodgers huddle time, which I've been advised to stop citing as a statistic.
But Kyren out-scored him 14.4 to 11.9 last year, rates an 8 to Hall's 5 on the meter, and got docked by the projection for the crime of consistency. Overruling my own board for a dog and a grudge — that's the job. 97%.
↻ Re-roll — the board would like its RB13 back.
Breece Hall RB
NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 25
ADP
30.2 · RB15
TwoGun Board
RB13 · #42
Dog
5 /10
Kyren Williams RB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26
ADP
32.3 · RB16
TwoGun Board
RB16 · #52
Dog
8 /10
| Breece Hall | Kyren Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +2 value | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 11.9 | 14.4 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 230.0 | 218.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 14.1 | 13.4 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 64% | 68% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Kenneth Walker III or Breece Hall? · Kenneth Walker III or Kyren Williams? · Josh Jacobs or Breece Hall?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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