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Should I draft Breece Hall or Kyren Williams? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Kyren Williams
97%confident

A tenth of a point separates them. An 8 on the dawg scale doesn't.

Hall projects 14 to Kyren's 13.9 and once caught a pass in Rodgers's general vicinity. That's the case, and it's thinner than it sounds.

Kyren's an 8 in the dawg file, put up 15.5 last year, and got cut to 13.9 for his trouble — a discount built by cowards. Bark plus grudge beats a tenth of a point. 97%.

↻ Re-roll — the tenth of a point wants a recount.
Breece Hall RB
NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 25
ADP
30.5 · RB15
TwoGun Board
RB15 · #58
Dawg
5 /10
Kyren Williams RB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26
ADP
32.5 · RB16
TwoGun Board
RB16 · #59
Dawg
8 /10
The tale of the tape
 Breece HallKyren Williams
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)13.015.5
2025 games1617
2026 TwoGun proj pts229.6227.8
2026 proj / gm14.013.9
Year over year▲ step up▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share64%68%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™5 / 108 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
13.0 14.0 15.5 13.9 HALL WILLIAMS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Hall RB15 mkt RB15 TwoGunWilliams RB16 mkt RB16 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

5/108/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) HALL WILLIAMS SNAP %TOUCH/G 64% 68% 17.4 17.4
MORE LIKE THIS: Kenneth Walker III or Breece Hall? · Kenneth Walker III or Kyren Williams? · Josh Jacobs or Breece Hall?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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