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Should I draft Bo Nix or Baker Mayfield? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Bo Nix
99%confident

The ascending discount against the flat fair price. Denver's kid, comfortably.

Nix: three spots under board value, out-produced Baker by nearly two a game last season, five years younger. Baker: honest, priced accordingly, arrow horizontal.

99%. Short page, right answer.

↻ Re-roll for Baker's fire speech. It's a good speech.
Bo Nix QB
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 26
ADP
116.1 · QB16
TwoGun Board
QB13 · #18
Dog
n/a
Baker Mayfield QB
TB · Bye 10 · Age 31
ADP
122.8 · QB17
TwoGun Board
QB19 · #24
Dog
n/a
The tale of the tape
 Bo NixBaker Mayfield
Market vs our board▲ +3 value▼ -2 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)17.916.0
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts285.3269.0
2026 proj / gm17.516.5
Year over year• steady• steady
2025 snap share100%97%
TwoGun Dog Rating™n/an/a

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
17.9 17.5 16.0 16.5 NIX MAYFIELD

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Nix QB16 mkt QB13 TwoGunMayfield QB17 mkt QB19 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) NIX MAYFIELD SNAP %TOUCH/G 100% 97% 4.9 3.2
MORE LIKE THIS: Jaxson Dart or Bo Nix? · Jaxson Dart or Baker Mayfield?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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