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Should I draft Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey? (PPR)
The verdict
Bijan Robinson
78%confident
CMC averaged 21.5 last year and I'm still not doing it. Growth.
Everything in me wants the old man. McCaffrey put up 21.5 a game — best on this page — he's 30, the projection slashes him to 17.8, and defending exactly that kind of insult is my love language.
But Bijan is 24, went 19.5 a game without missing a snap that mattered, and out-dogs him 8 to 5. The comeback arc lost to the guy who never left. 78% — the missing 22% is me lighting a candle for the 2023 version of McCaffrey.
↻ Re-roll: the candle wins some nights and so does CMC.
Bijan Robinson RB
ATL · Bye 11 · Age 24
ADP
1.6 · RB1
TwoGun Board
RB2 · #6
Dog
8 /10
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 30
ADP
4.8 · RB3
TwoGun Board
RB4 · #15
Dog
5 /10
| Bijan Robinson | Christian McCaffrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 19.5 | 21.5 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 314.9 | 288.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 19.3 | 17.8 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 78% | 83% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 8 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs? · Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor? · Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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