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Should I draft Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Christian McCaffrey
72%confident

The dawg machine barked for Bijan. A 30-year-old coming off 24.5 a game barked louder.

Bijan is an 8 on the dawg scale and I don't argue with my favorite metric. Usually. He projects 21.2 with 21.8 banked — no holes in that case at all.

McCaffrey averaged 24.5 last year and the projection calls 22.1 a decline. The math has never been stiff-armed. He's 30, which isn't decline either, that's hardening. My own dawg machine lost this one and it's sulking. 72%.

↻ Re-roll — an 8 on the dawg scale doesn't stay benched long.
Bijan Robinson RB
ATL · Bye 11 · Age 24
ADP
1.6 · RB1
TwoGun Board
RB3 · #5
Dawg
8 /10
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF · Bye 8 · Age 30
ADP
4.9 · RB3
TwoGun Board
RB2 · #4
Dawg
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 Bijan RobinsonChristian McCaffrey
Market vs our board▼ -2 rich• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)21.824.5
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts348.5357.6
2026 proj / gm21.222.1
Year over year• steady▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share78%83%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™8 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
21.8 21.2 24.5 22.1 ROBINSON MCCAFFREY

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Robinson RB1 mkt RB3 TwoGunMcCaffrey RB3 mkt RB2 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

8/105/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) ROBINSON MCCAFFREY SNAP %TOUCH/G 78% 83% 21.5 24.3
MORE LIKE THIS: Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs? · Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor? · Jahmyr Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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