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Should I draft Alec Pierce or Carnell Tate? (PPR)
The verdict
Alec Pierce
99%confident
The discounted deep threat with actual games beats the rookie without any. Novel concept.
Pierce: 10.7 a game last season, three spots under board value, contested-catch violence on file. Tate: promising, polished, unproven, and priced above our board's read.
Evidence at a discount versus hope at a premium. 99%.
↻ Re-roll when hope files a stat line.
Alec Pierce WR
IND · Bye 13 · Age 26
ADP
59.0 · WR29
TwoGun Board
WR26 · #90
Dog
6 /10
Carnell Tate WR
TEN · Bye 9 · Age 21 · ROOKIE
ADP
63.6 · WR31
TwoGun Board
WR35 · #103
Dog
5 /10
| Alec Pierce | Carnell Tate | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +3 value | ▼ -4 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 10.7 | — |
| 2025 games | 15 | college |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 168.0 | 151.2 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 10.3 | 9.3 |
| Year over year | • steady | • rookie |
| 2025 snap share | 86% | — |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 6 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT