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Should I draft Aaron Jones Sr. or J.K. Dobbins? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Aaron Jones Sr.
70%confident

Two comeback stories. One of them is a Packer with gray in his beard. You already know.

This page is a support group: both men lost half of 2025, both projections are apologies, both comebacks yank my compulsion wires. Dobbins even out-scored him when healthy, 11 to 8.7 — the honest edge is his.

But Jones is 31, still standing, and spent seven years turning Rodgers checkdowns into house money. The old-Packer stack beats one point of ppg in this establishment. 70%, biased and itemized.

↻ Re-roll — Dobbins takes the honest version often.
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 31
ADP
92.2 · RB33
TwoGun Board
RB32 · #100
Dog
4 /10
J.K. Dobbins RB
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
94.7 · RB34
TwoGun Board
RB35 · #110
Dog
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 Aaron Jones Sr.J.K. Dobbins
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)8.711.0
2025 games1210
2026 TwoGun proj pts155.1146.6
2026 proj / gm9.79.6
Year over year▲ step up▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share55%51%
TwoGun Dog Rating™4 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
8.7 9.7 11.0 9.6 JONES DOBBINS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Jones RB33 mkt RB32 TwoGunDobbins RB34 mkt RB35 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

4/105/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) JONES DOBBINS SNAP %TOUCH/G 55% 51% 13.3 16.4
MORE LIKE THIS: RJ Harvey or Aaron Jones Sr.? · RJ Harvey or J.K. Dobbins? · Aaron Jones Sr. or Kenny Gainwell?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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