INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Nothing here is scary and nothing here is soft: top-three corners, a top-ten line, an 8-dawg running back, and a rookie tight end I graded an 8.5. What buries the composite is history — an 8, essentially archaeological — and a quarterback the frozen board prices at 167 who I graded a 5, my lowest quarterback number. The units say playoff team. The columns that measure identity say "who?"
The Four Factors
Each factor is normalized 0–100 across the league — 100 is first, 0 is dead last — then weighted into the 51.3. Weights are the same for all 32 teams: defense 35, offense 30, history 20, coaching 15.
DEFENSE
× 35%League-middle. The unit grades below split the difference: some rooms hunt, some rooms watch.
OFFENSE
× 30%Top-ten. The roster sheet below shows each man's blind dawg grade next to what the market pays for him.
HISTORY
× 20%Bottom third. January depth is the only thing the table pays for, and the table barely opened its wallet.
COACHING
× 15%Mid-pack. The chart shows convention with occasional courage.
The Unit Room
The raw grades behind the factors — my dawg read on each unit group, 1 to 10, with its weight inside the defense factor and where it ranks among the 32. Defense is graded by unit group this season, not player-by-player — per-player cap-hit weighting arrives when the final 2026 cap tables settle. Said loudly on the main board, said loudly here.
The Roster Sheet
Every Colt on the frozen ADP board — the market's price next to my dawg read. The two numbers were never allowed to meet: I scored the player blind, then ADP told me how much of the offense rides on him. That firewall is the whole method. Names that link go to that player's file in the prop room; the rest don't have one yet.
| ADP | PLAYER | POS | DAWG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Jonathan TaylorFILE → | RB | 8.0 / 10 |
| 54.9 | Tyler Warren | TE | 8.5 / 10 |
| 59.4 | Alec PierceFILE → | WR | 6.5 / 10 |
| 85.7 | Josh DownsFILE → | WR | 6.5 / 10 |
| 167.5 | Daniel Jones | QB | 5.0 / 10 |
Tyler Warren (8.5/10) is the alpha grade on this sheet.
Where the Paper Rides
The season-long ledger lives on the main board and grades itself all year. Here is the Colts' part in it, breed against breed.
COLTS VS THE LADDER
| OPPONENT'S BREED | ROTTWEILER | GOLDEN RETR. | GREYHOUND | COCKER SPAN. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THE PLAY | 2 UNITS · OPPONENT | 1 UNIT · OPPONENT | NO PLAY | 1 UNIT · IND |
Greyhound games split three ways: the paper rides against the Colts when a bigger breed shows up, rides with them against the Spaniels, and sits out the all-track-team matchups. Locked all year, graded in public. If the finesse label is wrong, the count will say so — I don't re-grade. I watch.